Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 4/1/2024

The Cincinnati Reds (2-1) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (1-2) on Monday, April 1st. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on BSOH. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.

Reds vs Phillies

cincinnati reds nba

The Reds Are Coming Off A Win

After a 6-5 win over the Nationals, the Reds are back at home for the second game of the series. Cincinnati won the game as -176 favorites, scoring three runs in the bottom of the ninth to secure the win.

Washington held a 5-3 lead entering the bottom of the ninth, but the Reds scored three runs to walk it off. Will Benson and Christian Encarnacion-Strand both homered, with Benson driving in three runs. On the mound, Nick Martinez went five innings, giving up three earned runs.

Andrew Abbott Gets The Start For The Reds

Andrew Abbott is coming off a season in which he made 21 starts and finished with a record of 8-6 and an ERA of 3.87. He made a total of nine quality starts and averaged 2.1 walks per game. Abbott’s WHIP for the season was 1.32, and he allowed a total of 16 home runs. His strikeout-to-walk ratio for the season was 2.7, and he averaged 9.88 strikeouts per nine innings.

Reds Offense Breakdown

For the Reds, we have Christian Encarnacion-Strand as our top projected hitter in terms of total hits and home runs. His home run projection is 5th best in the league today. Jonathan India is 2nd in terms of both total hits and home runs for the Reds, with his home run projection being 15th best in the league. Jeimer Candelario is 2nd in terms of home run projections for the Reds and 15th in the league today.

The Phillies Are Coming Off A Win

Philadelphia won the series opener against the Braves 5-4. The Phillies were +122 underdogs in the game. The Phillies scored three runs in the seventh inning to take the lead and held on for the win.

Kyle Schwarber and Alec Bohm each had two hits for the Phillies. Schwarber also hit a home run and drove in two. Ozzie Albies had a three-RBI game for the Braves.

Cristopher Sánchez Gets The Start For The Phillies

Coming off a season in which he made 18 starts and finished with a record of 3-5, Cristopher Sánchez will be taking the mound for the Phillies against the Reds. Last season, Sánchez made 19 appearances and had an ERA of 3.44. His WHIP for the season was 1.05, and he finished the year with seven quality starts. Over the course of the season, Sánchez allowed 16 home runs and averaged 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. His walks per nine innings was 1.45, and his strikeouts per walk was 6.0.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

philadelphia phillies

For the Phillies, we have Kyle Schwarber as our top projected home run hitter, with the 6th best odds in the league today. Bryce Harper is 10th in the league in terms of home run projections. Trea Turner is our top projected hitter in terms of total hits for the Phillies, with the 19th best total in the league today. Alec Bohm is 2nd in terms of total hits projections on the Phillies.

 

Reds vs Phillies Prediction

 

There are a couple of ways you could look to play this one, but our favorite bet would be to take the over at 8.5 runs. We see this one finishing with a 6-5 win for the Phillies, giving us some room to spare in terms of the over/under line.

If you’re looking for a money line pick, the payout for a Phillies win is -168. However, we would recommend taking the over and staying away from a money line pick.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.