Colorado Rockies vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Rockies vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 4/14/2024

The Colorado Rockies (4-11) travel to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (7-8) on Sunday, April 14th. This game will be played at Rogers Centre in Toronto and televised on None. The Blue Jays are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rockies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rockies. First pitch is set for 1:37 ET.

Rockies vs Blue Jays

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Toronto cruised to a 5-3 win over the Rockies in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a huge 1st inning, scoring five of their seven runs. As for the Rockies, they scored their first run in the 3rd and added two more in the 6th.

Dakota Hudson got the start for the Rockies, going just six innings while giving up five runs and took the loss. Yariel Rodriguez only went 3 2/3 innings for the Blue Jays but gave up just one run and got the win.

At the plate, the Blue Jays were led by Daulton Varsho, George Springer, and Bo Bichette, as they were the only three Blue Jays hitters to have more than one hit. Varsho and Springer each homered in the game.

As the Rockies are on the road today vs. the Blue Jays, they are looking to bounce back, as they are currently 4-11 this season. In the NL West, they are in 5th place and have a two-game lead over the Rockies. So far, they have yet to win a series this season (0-4).

At home, the Rockies are 2-4 compared to 2-7 on the road. Coming into today’s game, they have been the underdog in all of their games, and they have yet to win a series when closing out a series at home.

When the Rockies win, they do so by an average of 4.5 runs per game, which is why they are 7-8 against the run line. They are 4-2 at home against the run line, but just 3-6 on the road. Their average run differential is -1.9 runs per game, and they are 0-0 against the run line as the favorite and 7-8 as the underdog.

With an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the Colorado Rockies have seen that line in just two of their 15 games this season, and both of those games went over the total. The Rockies’ games have averaged 11.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 9-6. The Rockies’ games have had an average over/under line of 10 runs per game this season, and 66.7% of their games have had higher lines than today’s 8.5-run total.

Kyle Freeland Gets The Start For The Rockies

After a rough start to the season, Kyle Freeland will be looking to bounce back on the road against the Blue Jays. He’s had a tough go of it in his first two starts, as he’s given up 19 hits in just 8 2/3 innings of work. He’s also given up a pair of home runs in each of his first two outings.

Rockies Offense Breakdown

For the Rockies, we have Nolan Jones as our top home run projection on the team and 13th in the league today. Charlie Blackmon has the highest hits projection on the team and 16th in the league. Kris Bryant is 2nd in terms of home run projections for the Rockies, and Ryan McMahon is 2nd in terms of home run projections on the team.

Toronto is currently in 5th place in the AL East, a position they took over from the Red Sox, who are 4th in the division. The Blue Jays are five games behind the Yankees for the division lead. So far, they have gone 7-8 this season.

Looking at their overall series record, the Blue Jays are 1-2-1, and they are coming off a series win over the Rockies. This came at home, where they are 3-2 this season.

When the Blue Jays win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.4 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -5.9 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 8-7, and they are 3-2 against the run line at home. As the favorite, they are 4-2 against the run line, while they are 4-5 as the underdog.

Through 14 games, the Blue Jays have an even over/under record at 7-7. Their average over/under line is 8 runs per game, and their combined run average is 9.0 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the under has hit in all three games. Overall, 60% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 8.5-run line.

José Berríos Gets The Start For The Blue Jays

Jose Berrios has been solid in his first two starts of the season, picking up a win in each outing. He has 2 earned runs allowed in 12 innings of work and has struck out 8 batters. Berrios will be taking on the Rockies at home, and his last start was a 6 2/3 inning outing against the Mariners, where he gave up 4 hits and 1 homer.

Blue Jays Offense Breakdown

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Looking at the Blue Jays’ player projections, we see that Bo Bichette has the highest total hits projection on the team and the 4th highest in the league today. His home run projection is 3rd best on the team and 15th in the league. George Springer is given the top odds to hit a home run for the Blue Jays and his total hits projection is 2nd on the team and 8th in the league. Justin Turner is 3rd in total hits for the Blue Jays and has the top odds to hit a home run for the team.


Rockies vs Blue Jays Prediction


One way to play this Rockies vs. Blue Jays matchup is to take the Blue Jays on the money line, as they are predicted to win this one by a score of 6-5. However, with the Blue Jays being such heavy favorites, we recommend taking the over, as there is a lot of value with the payout sitting at -110.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Jose Berrios is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Kyle Freeland at four. However, we do have Berrios finishing with a better ERA than Freeland, as Berrios is projected to give up three earned runs compared to Freeland at seven.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.