San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Prediction
PublishedMay 6, 2024,            Posted By: Maria Uebelhor
Last updated:May 6, 2024 ,

MLB San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 5/6/2024

The San Diego Padres (18-19) travel to face off against the Chicago Cubs (21-14) on Monday, May 6th. This game will be played at Wrigley Field in Chicago and televised on None. The Cubs are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 7:40 ET.

Padres vs Cubs

san diego padres nba

The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Diamondbacks with an 11-4 loss. San Diego was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Diamondbacks scored four times in the first.

Offensively, the Padres only had one fewer hit than the Diamondbacks but scored just four runs. Three of their runs came in the 2nd inning. Jackson Merrill hit a homer, and Kyle Higashioka went 2/4 with a run scored.

San Diego is 18-19 overall and trails the Dodgers by 5.5 games in the NL West. The Padres are coming off a series win, taking two of three from the Diamondbacks. So far, they have gone 10-9 against other NL West teams.

At home, the Padres are just 8-12 this year, but they have been better on the road at 10-7. As the favorite, San Diego is 12-11 and 6-8 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Padres are 6-5-2 and have won two straight series.

San Diego has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 19-18 overall. The Padres have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 13-4. They have an average run differential of +0.3 runs per game this season, and their average run differential in winning games is +4.0 runs per game.

San Diego Padres games have gone over the total in each of their last two games, and their games have gone over the total in 20 of 36 games this season. Their games have averaged 9.8 runs per game this season, and their games have had an average total of 8 runs per game this season. Their games have had an average total of 8 runs per game this season. Their games have had an average total of 8 runs per game this season. Their games have had an average total of 8 runs per game this season. Their games have had an average total of 8 runs per game this season. Their games have had an average total of 8 runs per game this season. Their games have had an average total of 8 runs per game this season. Their games have had an average total of 8 runs per game this season. Their games have had an average total of 8 runs per game this season. Their games have had an average total of 8 runs per game this season. Their games have had an average total of 8 runs per game this season. 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Yu Darvish Gets The Start For The Padres

Yu Darvish gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Cubs on the road. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 1-1 with an ERA of 3.45. Darvish’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.15. In his last outing, he pitched well, going five innings and picking up the win. He didn’t give up a run in the outing and only allowed three hits. Darvish has made one appearance on the road and has a 5.40 ERA in that outing. His ERA at home is 3.53.

Padres Offense Breakdown

San Diego’s offense has been one of the league’s best this season, as they are 4th in the league in scoring at 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.7 runs per game. The Padres are also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams and have the 2nd best team batting average in the league. Jake Cronenworth has been a big reason for their success, as he is 7th in the league with 25 RBIs and has gone 9/27 with two homers over his last six games.

Fernando Tatis Jr. comes into the game with a team-high seven homers, but is batting just .250 for the season. He is also on a three-game hitting streak. Jurickson Profar has also been hot of late, going 12/23 in his last six games with two homers and five RBIs.

Heading into their last game vs. the Brewers, the Cubs closed out the series with a 5-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +117 on the money line. It was a three-run 5th inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Brewers could only score a total of four hits.

Javier Assad put together a good start for the Cubs, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three walks and struck out four Brewers batters. Chicago’s offense was carried by Dansby Swanson, who went 1/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

Chicago is 21-14 overall this season, and they are 2nd in the NL Central, tied with the Brewers for the division lead. The Cubs just took two of three from the Brewers and are on a two-game winning streak. So far, they have gone 2-1 in divisional games.

At home, the Cubs have been strong, going 12-4 this season. They are just under .500 on the road at 9-10. As the underdog, the Cubs are 12-10 this season and 9-4 when favored. Chicago has been tough to beat at home when going off as the underdog, putting together a 6-1 mark. The Cubs’ overall series record is 6-3-2 coming into today’s game vs. the Padres.

The Cubs have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 23-12 overall. They are 10-6 at home and 13-6 on the road. They have covered the run line in five of their last seven games as the underdog and are 17-5 overall in that situation. The Cubs have an average run margin of +0.5 runs per game this season.

Chicago Cubs games have had an average of 9.1 runs scored per game this season, and their over/under record is 15-19. The over/under line for today’s game against the San Diego Padres is set at 7 runs, and the Cubs have played in 30 games with higher lines than that, going 0-4 in those games. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs this season, and their games have gone over the line in 85.7% of their games.

Justin Steele Gets The Start For The Cubs

Justin Steele and the Cubs are at home for his start against the Padres. Steele started the season with a no-decision on the road against the Rangers, where he went 4 2/3 innings and gave up 1 earned run on 3 hits and struck out 6.

Cubs Offense Breakdown

chicago cubs

Christopher Morel has been on a bit of a power surge for the Cubs, as he has gone deep three times in his last six games while hitting .263 during that stretch. For the season, he is batting just .220, but his seven home runs are 4th in the league and lead the Cubs. Michael Busch and Nico Hoerner have also been solid at the plate, with Busch batting .261 with six homers and Hoerner hitting .282.

As a team, the Cubs are 9th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. So far, they have been a good home run-hitting team, and they are among the league leaders in walks. Currently, Ian Happ, Nico Hoerner, and Christopher Morel are all on decent hitting streaks.

Padres vs Cubs Prediction

Our prediction for this Padres vs. Cubs matchup is to take the Cubs on the money line at -121. We have the Cubs winning this one by a score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay option, you could also take the over, as the line is sitting at 7 runs, and we have this one finishing with 11 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Justin Steele finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Yu Darvish with six. Darvish is projected to finish with a 4.20 ERA, while Steele is at 3.80.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.