The Tampa Bay Rays (29-31) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (21-39) on Tuesday, June 4th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSSUN. The Rays are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rangers. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Rays vs Marlins
The Rays’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Orioles, closing out their series with a 4-3 win. After allowing one run to the Orioles in the bottom of the first, the Rays responded with a run of their own. Tampa Bay went on to add another run in the 5th inning and closed things out with a 2-run 8th.
Starting for the Rays was Zack Littell, who picked up the win. He went six innings, giving up three earned runs on
11 hits. José Caballero was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a homer and two RBIs.
Tampa Bay is 29-31 overall and is 4th in the AL East, sitting 12.5 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Rays lost two of three games in their most recent series vs. the Orioles. Heading into today’s game, they are 10-13 in AL East matchups.
At home, the Rays have gone 17-18 this season and are just below .500 at 12-13 on the road. As the favorite, the Rays are 18-19 this season and 11-12 as the underdog. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 8-9-2, and they have won two straight games as the favorite.
When betting the run line on the Rays, it’s been a mixed bag. They are 24-36 overall, but 13-12 on the road. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 13-10, compared to 11-26 as the favorite. Their average run margin is -0.9 runs per game, but in their losses, that margin jumps to -3.8 runs per game.
The Tampa Bay Rays are on the road today against the Miami Marlins. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their average combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. The Rays have played in 44 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 30-29.
Ryan Pepiot Gets The Start For The Rays
Ryan Pepiot gets the start for the Rays today as he faces the Marlins on the road. So far, he has made nine starts and has a record of 3-2 with an ERA of 3.88. Pepiot has made four quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. In that May 29th start vs. the Athletics, he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and had seven strikeouts. Pepiot has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. His WHIP for the season is .95, and opponents are batting .171 off the right-hander.
Rays Offense Breakdown
Isaac Paredes has been one of the few bright spots in the Rays lineup so far this season, as he is batting .291 with a team-high 10 homers and 32 RBIs. Paredes also has a team-best on-base percentage of .381. However, they could use a turnaround from Randy Arozarena, who is batting just .162 for the season.
Overall, the Rays are 25th in the league in scoring at 3.9 runs per game, and they have been even worse on the road, averaging just 3.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .234, which is 15th in the MLB, and they are just 20th in home runs.
The Marlins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a 6-0 loss. Miami was the +107 underdog at home going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Marlins, as they got out of the gate with three straight singles but couldn’t push across a run. The Marlins also loaded the bases in the 1st inning but didn’t score.
Miami started Trevor Rogers, and he took the loss, going six innings and giving up four earned runs on six hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and issued two walks. The Marlins also wasted a big game from Jazz Chisholm, who went 3 for 4 with a double.
Miami is 21-39 overall and trail the Phillies by 20.5 games in the NL East. The Marlins have dropped two straight games and are just 4-12 against other teams in the NL East. At home, the Marlins are 11-21 compared to 10-18 on the road.
So far, the Marlins have really struggled as the favorite, going just 3-12. As for their record as the underdog, they are 18-27 this year. Miami’s overall series record is 5-13-1, and they have dropped two straight series.
When playing at home, the Marlins have been a poor run line bet, going just 10-22. They have been a much better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 15-13. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 24-21. They have been a terrible bet as the favorite, going just 1-14.
When the Miami Marlins play at home, the over has been a popular bet, with their games going over the total in 73.3% of their games this season. The Marlins have an over/under record of 32-28 on the year, and when the over/under line is set at 7.5, their games have gone over the total in 8 of 11 games. Miami’s games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and the over/under line for their games has averaged 8 runs per game. The Marlins have gone under the total in their last two games.
Jesús Luzardo Gets The Start For The Marlins
Jesús Luzardo gets the start for the Marlins today and comes into the game with a record of 2-4 and an ERA of 4.18. Looking at his overall numbers, Luzardo has made nine starts, and opponents are batting .217 this year. Luzardo has turned in four quality starts this year, and his ERA at home is 3.47 compared to 7.0 on the road. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.2 runs per contest. As a team, the Marlins are batting .236, and their team on-base percentage of .290 is 19th in the league. Miami’s offense has been near the bottom of the league in most power-hitting categories, including team slugging percentage and isolated power.
Over his last six games, Josh Bell has gone 10/24, but he has yet to go deep during that stretch. Jesús Sánchez has two homers in his last six games and is also hitting .333 during that stretch. Sánchez is also on a four-game hitting streak.
Rays vs Marlins Prediction
Getting the Marlins at +101 on the money line is a great value pick for today’s Rays vs. Marlins matchup. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Marlins, giving you some wiggle room to take the Marlins on the money line or to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jesús Luzardo finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Ryan Pepiot with five. Luzardo is also projected to go deeper into the game, and you could look to take him in the strikeout prop market.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 4, 2024 Marlins, Rays