The Tampa Bay Rays (13-16) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (17-10) on Monday, April 29th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on BSSUN. Both the Rays and Brewers are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 7:40 ET.
Rays vs Brewers
The Rays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the White Sox with a 4-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the White Sox scored two runs in the bottom of the 8th. Tampa Bay was the -148 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Zack Littell put together a good start for the Rays, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out six. However, the Rays’ bullpen couldnjson’t close things out, and Tampa Bay took the loss. The Rays also wasted a big game from Isaac Paredes, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 2/4.
Tampa Bay’s overall record is 13-16 heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Brewers. The Rays dropped the final two games of their series vs. the White Sox and have lost the first game of this series. Currently, they trail the Yankees by six games in the AL East.
As the road favorite, the Rays are 4-5 this year, and they are 10-13 as the favorite overall. Tampa Bay has dropped four straight as the road, and their overall series record is 3-4-2. This year, they are just 3-4 in AL East matchups.
The Rays have been a poor bet on the run line this season, going 10-19 overall. They have been even worse at home, going 5-12, but have been slightly better on the road, going 5-7. They have failed to cover the run line in three straight road games and are just 4-11 as the favorite.
When the Tampa Bay Rays have played games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs this season, the over has gone 6-7. Overall, their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 17-12. The Rays are on the road today against the Milwaukee Brewers, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs.
Ryan Pepiot Gets The Start For The Rays
Ryan Pepiot is on the mound for the Rays in their road matchup with the Brewers. Pepiot has started the season with a 1-1 record, with his win coming in his last start vs. the Angels. In that game, he struck out 7 batters over 6 innings and gave up just 3 hits. He also has a loss to the Giants and a no-decision vs. the Tigers.
Rays Offense Breakdown
Isaac Paredes has been one of the Rays’ top hitters this season, batting .275 with a team-high seven home runs. He has also driven in 17 runs, which is 11th best in the league. Paredes has been even better of late, going 8/26 in his last six games with two homers. Amed Rosario is batting .320 for the season and has gone deep twice.
As a team, the Rays are averaging 4 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .244, which is 12th in the league. Tampa Bay’s team on-base percentage is just 19th in the league, and they have the 21st slugging percentage in the league.
The Brewers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Yankees with a 15-5 loss. Milwaukee was the +114 underdog at home going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Brewers, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Yankees scored three times in the top of the first.
Milwaukee started Tobias Myers, and he took the loss, going five innings and giving up four earned runs on five hits. Jake Bauers had a good day at the
plate, going 3/5 with a homer and three RBIs.
Milwaukee’s overall record is 17-10 heading into today’s matchup vs. the Rays, and they are leading the NL Central by a half-game over the Cubs. The Brewers lost the final two games of their series vs. the Yankees after winning the opener. So far, they have gone 7-3 in divisional matchups.
The Brewers have been really good on the road this year, putting together a mark of 12-4. However, they are just 5-6 at home. This season, the Brewers have been the underdog in 15 of their games, and they are 9-6 in those games. As for their record in day games, they are 10-3 this season. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 5-2-2, and they have dropped two straight series at home.
The Brewers have been a good run line bet on the road this season, going 10-6 against the spread. However, they have struggled to cover the run line at home, going just 2-9. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 9-6 against the run line, compared to just 3-9 as the favorite. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.3, while it drops to -4.2 in losses.
So far this season, the Brewers have had an over/under record of 17-10, with an average combined run average of 10.0 runs per game. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 12-4. Their over streak is currently at 4 games, with their last game against the Yankees totaling 20 runs, well over the 8.5 run line.
Bryse Wilson Gets The Start For The Brewers
Brewers starter Bryse Wilson has made two starts and eight total appearances this season. He is 2-0 with a 3.50 ERA and WHIP of 1.00. Wilson’s ERA on the road is 12.23 compared to 2.92 at home. Most recently, he faced the Pirates on April 24th, where he went 4 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, three walks, and three hits. Wilson finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight appearances. Wilson has allowed a home run in three of his last four outings.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
William Contreras has been on a tear for the Brewers of late, going 8/20 in his last five games, including one home run. For the season, he is batting .352 with five homers and 22 RBIs. Rhys Hoskins and Christian Yelich are also near the top of the league in home runs, with six and five, respectively. Hoskins has driven in 18 runs but is hitting just .228.
As a team, the Brewers are 5th in the league in scoring at 5.3 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 4th best home run hitting team and are batting .260.
Rays vs Brewers Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Rays vs. Brewers game is to take the Brewers on the money line at -116. We have the final score at 5.1 to 5 in favor of the Brewers, and at home, there is some good value in taking them to win outright.
Looking at some potential player props, we have Bryse Wilson finishing with three strikeouts compared to Ryan Pepiot with five. However, Pepiot is projected to go six innings, while Wilson is our predicted to go the distance.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:April 29, 2024 Brewers, Rays