The Tampa Bay Rays (14-16) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (17-11) on Tuesday, April 30th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on BSSUN. The Rays are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Brewers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rays. First pitch is set for 7:40 ET.
Rays vs Brewers
Tampa Bay picked up a 1-0 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had just two more hits than the Brewers and struck out 10 times, but still picked up the win. Heading into the game, they were at -105 on the money line.
Ryan Pepiot started for the Rays and went six innings while striking out seven and not giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Jason Adam got the save. Bryse Wilson only went six innings for the Brewers but gave up just one run on four hits.
The only run of the game came in the first inning when Niko Goodrum scored on an Isaac Paredes single. Goodrum and Paredes were the only two Rays hitters to have more than one hit.
Tampa Bay is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by five games for the division lead. Overall, the Rays are 14-16 heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Brewers. The Rays picked up a win in their most recent game vs. the White Sox but had dropped three straight before that.
So far, they have gone 3-4 in division games, and they closed out their series vs. the White Sox with a win. This year, the Rays have been a favorite in 23 games, and they are 10-13 in those games. As for their record as the underdog, they are 4-3 and 2-2 as the road underdog. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 3-4-2, and they have lost three straight series.
The Rays have been a tough team to bet on this season, as they have a run line record of 11-19. They have been slightly better on the road, going 6-7 against the run line, compared to 5-12 at home. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 5-2 against the run line, compared to 6-17 as the favorite. Their average run margin is -1.0 runs per game, and they have been outscored by an average of 0.8 runs per game on the road and 1.2 runs per game at home.
The Tampa Bay Rays have played 25 games this season with an over/under line higher than 7.5 runs, and their over/under record in those games is 17-13. Their average over/under line for the season is 9 runs, and their combined run average for the season is 8.8 runs per game. Their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 4-1. Their current under streak is two games, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Milwaukee Brewers is set at 7.5 runs.
Tyler Alexander Gets The Start For The Rays
Tyler Alexander is on the mound for the Rays today, and he is coming off a no-decision in his last start vs. the Tigers. Alexander has started two games this season, but has yet to factor into the decision. He went 5 1/3 innings in his last outing, striking out 4 and giving up 2 hits.
Rays Offense Breakdown
So far, the Rays offense has been one of the worst in the league, coming in at just 3.9 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .243, which is 12th in the league, but they are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have the 9th most strikeouts in the league.
Amed Rosario has been one of the team’s top hitters this season, batting .320, and he has gone 7/27 in his last seven games. Isaac Paredes has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 10/32 in his last eight games while hitting seven homers this season. Randy Arozarena has three homers but is batting just .148 for the season and .103 in his last eight games.
Milwaukee’s overall record is 17-11 heading into today’s game vs. the Rays, and they are 0.5 games behind the Cubs for the NL Central lead. The Brewers lost the final two games of their series vs. the Yankees and dropped the series opener vs. the Rays. So far, they have gone 7-3 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Brewers are 5-7 this year but have been great on the road at 12-4. They have also been good in day games, going 10-4 this season. As the home favorite, the Brewers are 4-3 this year, and they are 9-6 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Brewers are 5-2-2 and have dropped two straight series at home.
The Brewers are a team that has been a tough bet on the run line this season. They are 12-16 overall, but just 2-10 at home. They have been a much better bet on the road, going 10-6 on the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 9-6 on the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.3, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.9.
When the Milwaukee Brewers play at home, the over/under line is set at an average of 8 runs per game. So far this season, their games have averaged 9.7 runs per game. The over/under record for Brewers games this season is 17-11, and the over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 2-3. Seventy-five percent of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line of 7.5 runs.
Freddy Peralta Gets The Start For The Brewers
Freddy Peralta is starting for the Brewers today at home against the Rays. Peralta has been solid in his first three starts, with a 1-0 record and 19 strikeouts in 16 innings pitched. He’s coming off a start in which he went 4 2/3 innings and gave up 5 earned runs on 5 hits.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
William Contreras comes into the game with a team-high 22 RBIs, which is also good for 7th in the league. He has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 13/40 in his last 10 games. Rhys Hoskins has also been driving in runs at a good clip, with nine RBIs in his last nine games, but he has just a .223 batting average for the season.
As a team, the Brewers are 6th in the league in scoring at 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are 4th in batting average, at .255, and have the 4th best on-base percentage in the league.
Rays vs Brewers Prediction
Our pick for this Rays vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line at -147. We have the Brewers winning this one by a score of 6-5. Looking at the starting pitchers, Freddy Peralta has a much better chance of picking up a win than Tyler Alexander.
Offensively, we have the Rays finishing with nine hits compared to the Brewers, who we have getting nine. However, the Brewers lineup is projected to hit more home runs than the Rays, and they also have a higher chance of coming away with the win.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:April 30, 2024 Brewers, Rays