Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 5/7/2024

The Detroit Tigers (18-17) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (23-12) on Tuesday, May 7th. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on BSGL. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Tigers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 6:10 ET.

Tigers vs Guardians

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Cleveland picked up a 2-1 win over the Tigers in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians offense only had two more hits than the Tigers and struck out 10 times, but still picked up the win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -121 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Triston McKenzie for the Guardians and Jack Flaherty for the Tigers. McKenzie only went five innings but gave up just one hit and one earned run. Flaherty also had a good outing, going six innings and giving up two earned runs.

Detroit’s offense was led by Riley Greene, who went 1/5 with a home run. He was the only Tigers hitter to have more than one hit. As for the Guardians, Jose Ramirez also had a two-hit game with a home run.

Detroit is on the road today vs. the Guardians, and they are looking to snap a four-game losing streak, and they are 18-17 overall. In the AL Central, they are five games behind the Guardians and are 9-5 in the division. The Tigers have gone 4-6 over their last 10 games and have an overall series record of 6-3-2 this year.

So far, the Tigers have been both good as the favorite and the underdog, as they are 9-7 in games where they are favored and 9-10 as the underdog. On the road, they have been good as the underdog, putting together a record of 7-7. But they have lost five straight on the road as the Tigers are looking to get back on track today.

When the Tigers are on the road, they have a run line record of 11-7. Their average run margin in those games is +0.7, and they have covered the run line in each of their last three road games. Overall, they have a run line record of 16-19, and they are 13-6 against the run line as the underdog.

The Detroit Tigers have played 33 games this season, and their games have had an average of 7.6 runs per game. Their over/under record is 15-18, and the average over/under line for their games has been 8 runs. When their over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 1-5. Only 11.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Kenta Maeda Gets The Start For The Tigers

Kenta Maeda has made six starts this season and has a record of 1-1 with an ERA of 5.02. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.22. The right-hander has made two quality starts this year and is coming off a game in which he allowed just one earned run in six innings of work. Against the Guardians today, Maeda will be looking to build off that outing. He has finished with a no-decision in three straight starts. Maeda’s ERA at home is 6.16, compared to 8.1 on the road.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

Riley Greene and Mark Canha have been the Tigers’ top power threats this season, with Greene’s nine homers ranking 3rd in the league and Canha’s five homers coming in at 7th in the league. Greene is also batting .266 for the season and has gone 12/38 in his last 10 games, with four homers during that stretch. Wenceel Pérez has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/28 with three homers in his last nine games.

Overall, the Tigers are batting just .223 for the season and are averaging 3.8 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. Their team on-base percentage is just .299, and they are near the bottom of the league in both slugging percentage and OPS.

Cleveland is hosting the Tigers today with an overall record of 23-12, good for 1st place in the AL Central. The Guardians lead the Twins by 2.5 games and have gone 5-1 against other teams in the AL Central. They have won three straight games, and they have won three straight both at home and as the favorite. So far, they are 11-5 at home and 12-7 on the road.

The Guardians’ overall series record this year is 8-3, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games. This season, they have been the favorite in 20 of their games, going 14-6 in those contests. As the underdog, they are 9-6 this year.

The Guardians have been a solid team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 23-12 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 13-6 on the run line. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 12-3 on the run line, and they have an average run margin of 1.3 runs per game this season.

The Cleveland Guardians have had 19 games with over/under lines set lower than 8.5 runs this season, and the under has hit in 54.3% of those contests. Their over/under record on the year is 18-15, and they have gone under in two straight games. In their last game, they combined with the Detroit Tigers for just three runs, falling well short of the over/under line of 7.0 runs.

Logan Allen Gets The Start For The Guardians

Cleveland is sending Logan Allen to the mound today vs. the Tigers, and he is coming off a rough outing vs. the Astros. In that start, he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, and took the loss. Looking back over his last three outings, Allen has given up at least two homers in each. Allen’s ERA for the season is 5.11, along with a record of 3-2. Opponents are batting .265 off the left-hander this season. So far, he has made one quality start this year. At home, Allen’s ERA is 7.56.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

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Cleveland’s offense has been one of the best in the league so far this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 8th in the MLB. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, the Guardians are 9th in home runs and have the league’s 8th best team batting average. However, their team leader in home runs, Josh Naylor, has hit just .241 over his last eight games, and Jose Ramirez is batting just .129 in that stretch.

Steven Kwan has been a bright spot for the Guardians, as he is batting .353 for the season and has three homers. Over his last nine games, Andres Gimenez is hitting .297 and has one home run. Naylor and David Fry are both on hitting streaks, with Naylor’s sitting at three games and Fry’s at four.

Tigers vs Guardians Prediction

Our prediction for this game is that the Guardians will pick up a 5-4 win at home. With the Guardians coming in at -124 on the money line, this is the way we recommend playing this one.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Logan Allen is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which has him as one of the worst starters in terms of Ks. As for Kenta Maeda, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which has him right in the middle of the pack.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.