Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB: Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 4/19/2024

The Detroit Tigers (10-9) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (6-11) on Friday, April 19th. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on BSDET. Both the Tigers and Twins are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 8:10 ET.

Tigers vs Twins

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The Tigers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a 9-7 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Rangers scored three runs in the top of the 8th. Detroit was the -104 favorite at home going into the game.

Kenta Maeda had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on seven hits and issuing two walks. The Tigers also wasted a big game from Riley Greene, who went 2/4 with a double, two RBIs, and a run scored. Javier Baez was also 2/5 with two doubles and a run scored.

Detroit’s overall record currently sits at 10-9, as they Tigers are looking to snap a two-game losing streak today on the road vs. the Twins. In the AL Central, they are 3rd place and have gone 5-2 against other teams in the division. Right now, they are three games behind the Guardians for the division lead.

So far, Detroit has been good on the road, putting together a record of 6-2. At home, they have gone just 4-7. The Tigers are coming off dropping two straight at home vs. the Rangers. This season, Detroit is 6-4 when favored and 4-5 as the underdog.

When the Tigers win, they win by an average of 2.3 runs. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.0 runs. The Tigers are 6-13 on the run line this season, with a 2-9 record at home. As the favorite, they are just 1-9 on the run line.

The Detroit Tigers have had 11 of their 18 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, and their games have averaged 7.7 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 8-10, and when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, they are 3-3. Their over streak is at 2 games, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game this season.

Jack Flaherty Gets The Start For The Tigers

Jack Flaherty and the Tigers are on the road today, taking on the Twins. Flaherty has started 3 games this season and has yet to record a win, going 0-1 with 2 no-decisions. He has been able to rack up the strikeouts, though, as he has 22 K’s in 18 1/3 innings pitched.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

The Tigers are projected to have a few players who could make an impact offensively. Kerry Carpenter has the highest total hits projection on the team and has the 17th highest total hits projection in the league today. His home run projection is 10th best in the league today. Spencer Torkelson has the best home run projection on the team and is 9th best in the league today. Gio Urshela has the 20th best total hits projection in the league today.

The Twins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Orioles with a 4-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Orioles scored two runs in the bottom of the 7th. Minnesota was the +100 underdog on the money line going into the game.

Pablo Lopez was excellent for the Twins, going six innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out seven. However, the Twins couldnjson’t close things out, and Griffin Jax took the loss out of the bullpen. The Twins also wasted a big game from Mitch Garver, who homered twice, going 2-4.

As the Tigers are 3rd in the AL Central, the Twins are just behind them, holding 4th place. Currently, the Twins are six games behind the Guardians for the division lead. At home, the Twins have gone just 1-4 this season.

So far, the Twins have been the favorite in nine of their games, and they have a record of 5-3 in those games. As the underdog, which they have been nine times, they have gone just 1-8. Minnesota is coming off being swept by the Orioles in a three-game series.

Minnesota is 8-9 against the run line this season, including a 1-4 mark at home. The Twins have been outscored by an average of 1.2 runs per game overall, with a -1.6 scoring margin at home and a -1.0 margin on the road. They have covered the run line in seven of 12 road games this season, and are on a two-game run line win streak.

Minnesota’s over/under record is 7-10 this season, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. Their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 1-0. In total, 82.4% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.

Joe Ryan Gets The Start For The Twins

Joe Ryan is getting the start for the Twins today, and he has been solid through his first three outings of the season. Ryan has gone 6 innings in each of his two starts, and he is coming off a 12-strikeout performance against the Tigers. In his first start of the year, he went 5 1/3 innings and gave up just 1 run.

Twins Offense Breakdown

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When it comes to player props for the Twins today, we have Ryan Jeffers with the highest home run projection on the team and 7th best in the league. Alex Kirilloff has the highest total hits projection on the team and 16th best in the league, while his home run projection is 12th best today. Edouard Julien has the 2nd best home run projection on the team and 9th best in the league. Jose Miranda has the 2nd best total hits projection on the team and 20th best in the league.

 

Tigers vs Twins Prediction

 

Our prediction for today’s Tigers vs. Twins matchup is to take the Twins on the money line at -149. We actually have the Twins winning this one by a score of 5-4. With the over/under sitting at 7.5 runs, we would recommend taking the over if you’re looking for a different bet.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jack Flaherty finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Joe Ryan with six. However, we have Ryan finishing with a better chance of picking up the win compared to Flaherty.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.