Chicago White Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB White Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 4/20/2024

The Chicago White Sox (3-16) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (12-8) on Saturday, April 20th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on NSPPH. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the White Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the White Sox. First pitch is set for 6:05 ET.

White Sox vs Phillies

chicago white sox nba

Thanks to a three-run first inning for the Phillies’ offense, they cruised to a 7-0 win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -182 on the money line.

The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Garrett Crochet for the White Sox, and he went just three innings while giving up seven runs and took the loss. Spencer Turnbull put together a good outing for the Phillies, getting the win after going seven innings and not giving up a run.

Alec Bohm was the only Phillies hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 2/4 with two homers and six RBIs. Trea Turner scored twice for Philadelphia while going 3/4.

As the White Sox are on the road today vs. the Phillies, they are looking to snap a four-game losing streak, as they closed out their series with the Royals with a win. Currently, the White Sox are in 5th place in the AL Central, 10.5 games behind the Guardians.

So far, Chicago has been the underdog in all of their games, and they have yet to win a series this season (0-5-1). At home, they are 2-9 compared to 1-7 on the road.

Chicago has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 8-11 overall. They are 5-6 against the run line at home and 3-5 on the road. The White Sox have been an underdog in every game so far this season. Their average run differential is -3.2 runs per game, and they are 1-1 against the run line in their last two games.

The Chicago White Sox have been trending towards the under, as their last four games have gone under the total. Their games have averaged 7.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 6-12. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, but when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, the under has gone 4-1.

Michael Soroka Gets The Start For The White Sox

Michael Soroka is on the mound for the White Sox, as they are on the road against the Phillies. Soroka has been hit hard in his first two starts, going 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA. He gave up 4 earned runs in each of his first two outings and has given up a total of 2 home runs.

White Sox Offense Breakdown

Our model is projecting Martín Maldonado to have the best chance to hit a home run for the White Sox today, as his home run projection is 13th best in the league. Andrew Benintendi has the best overall hits projection for the White Sox, as his total is 21st best in the league. Gavin Sheets is another player to watch, as his home run projection is 13th best in the league today. Lenyn Sosa has the 2nd best home run projection on the team and 14th best in the league.

With an overall record of 12-8, the Phillies are on a four-game winning streak. In the NL East, they are chasing the Braves and are currently two games behind them. So far, they have gone just 3-3 against other teams in the division.

At home, the Phillies have been good, putting together an 8-6 record. And while they have been above average on the road at 4-2, they have been slightly better at home. Philadelphia has won four straight games as the favorite and is 10-6 when favored this season.

The Phillies have an average run margin of 0.0 this season, and their run line record is 8-12. They are 5-9 against the run line at home, where their scoring margin is -0.4 runs per game. They are 3-3 against the run line on the road, where they have a positive scoring margin of 1.0 runs per game. As the favorite, they are 6-10 against the run line, while they are 2-2 as the underdog.

When the Phillies and White Sox met in their previous game, the over/under line was set at 7.5 runs, and the game finished with only seven runs scored. This was the first time in the Phillies’ last five games that the total runs scored were under the over/under line.

Zack Wheeler Gets The Start For The Phillies

Zack Wheeler and the Phillies are taking on the White Sox today, and Wheeler is looking to pick up his first win of the season. He has gone 0-2 in his first two starts, but has been striking out batters at a high rate, as he has 15 K’s in 12 innings of work. In his last start, he went 7 innings, giving up 3 runs on 6 hits.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

philadelphia phillies

When it comes to the Phillies’ offensive projections, we have Trea Turner leading the team in total hits today, as his projection is 13th best in the league. His home run projection is 6th best league-wide. Bryce Harper’s total hits projection is 23rd in the league, but his home run projection is 3rd best. Kyle Schwarber has the top odds to hit a home run for the Phillies, as his home run projection is 3rd best in the league.

 

White Sox vs Phillies Prediction

 

We see the best value in this White Sox vs. Phillies matchup coming on the over/under line, with the line sitting at 7.5 runs. Our prediction is that the Phillies will pick up a 5-4 win, giving us a little wiggle room on the over/under line.

Looking at some potential starting pitcher props, Zack Wheeler is projected to finish with six strikeouts, while White Sox starter Michael Soroka is predicted to finish with just four K’s.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.