The New York Mets (26-35) travel to face off against the Washington Nationals (27-33) on Wednesday, June 5th. This game will be played at Nationals Park in Washington and televised on SNY. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nationals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 3:05 CT.
Mets vs Nationals
New York picked up a 6-3 road win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a two-run 4th inning and then broke the game open with three more runs in the 5th. As for the Nationals, they scored their only three runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -142 on the money line.
David Peterson started for the Mets and picked up the win, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with just two strikeouts and allowed two walks. DJ Herz got the start for the Nationals and took the loss, going just four innings and giving up four earned runs.
Harrison Bader and Pete Alonso each homered for the Mets, while Jacob Young went 3/3 with two RBIs for the Nationals. Starling Marte also had a two RBI game at the plate for New York.
The Mets are 26-35 overall this season, and they are 4th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 16.5 games. New York has gone 7-8 in divisional games this year. The Mets have won two straight games, and they are coming in with a 5-5 record over their last 10 games.
At home, the Mets are just 13-21 this year. New York has been better on the road, going 13-14 so far. As the road favorite, the Mets are 4-4 this year, and they are 14-16 as the favorite overall. As for their record as the underdog, the Mets are 12-19 this season. New York’s overall series record is 6-11-3.
Despite a run differential of -0.6 runs per game, the Mets have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 27-34. They’ve been especially good on the road, where they’re 16-11 against the run line. The Mets have covered the run line in their last two road games and are 17-14 as an underdog this season.
Today’s over/under line of 9.5 runs for the New York Mets’ game against the Washington Nationals is the highest of the season for the Mets. Their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 32-27. So far, their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and they are 4-0 when the line is set at 9.5 runs.
Luis Severino Gets The Start For The Mets
Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Nationals on the road. He has made 11 starts this season and has a record of 3-2 with an ERA of 3.52. Opposing batters are hitting .198 off Severino this season, and he has turned in four quality starts. In his most recent outing, Severino picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had three straight outings in which he didn’t give up more than one earned run. Severino has finished with a no-decision in three straight outings.
Mets Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Mets offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. However, they have been much better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .240 (10th) and have the 8th most home runs in the league. Pete Alonso is leading the team with 31 RBIs and is 6th in the MLB with 14 home runs.
Over the past five games, Mark Vientos has been red hot for the Mets, going 8/18 with two home runs. Pete Alonso has also gone deep twice in this stretch, but is batting just .261. Brandon Nimmo and Alonso are tied for the team lead with 31 RBIs, with Nimmo having seven homers and Alonso at six.
Washington is looking to avoid the series sweep today vs. the Mets, and they are also trying to make up some ground in the NL East. Currently, they are 15 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. Overall, the Nationals are 27-33 and have gone 8-8 in divisional matchups this year.
At home, the Nationals are 10-15 this season compared to 17-18 on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 24-30 this year and 3-3 when favored. The Nationals have dropped two straight games and are 4-6 over their last 10.
The Nationals have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 36-24 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 23-12. They have been a slight underdog in most games, and their run line record as an underdog is 33-21. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.4, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.3.
Washington’s over/under record is 26-31, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. Their combined run average is 8.3 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 3-3. This is the fourth time this season that the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs for a Nationals game. So far, 85% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 9.5-run total.
Patrick Corbin Gets The Start For The Nationals
Washington is sending left-hander Patrick Corbin to the mound today vs. the Mets. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 1-6 with a 5.83 ERA. Corbin’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.67. Looking back at his last outing, Corbin took the loss vs. the Guardians, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. He has allowed at least two homers in three straight starts. Corbin has made three quality starts this year and is averaging 5.56 strikeouts per nine innings. At home, he is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA.
Nationals Offense Breakdown
Washington’s offense is averaging 4 runs per game this season, which is 22nd in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game. The Nationals are also near the bottom of the league in home runs, and their team batting average of .231 is 16th in the MLB.
Joey Meneses is the Nationals’ top run producer this season, as he has 30 RBIs and is also leading the team with nine homers. CJ Abrams is batting .249 and has gone deep nine times. Eddie Rosario has also hit a lot of homers but is batting just .184 for the season. However, he has gone 5/17 in his last seven games.
Mets vs Nationals Prediction
Our pick for today’s Mets vs. Nationals game is to take the Nationals on the money line at +121. We have Patrick Corbin picking up the win, and with the Nationals’ offense predicted to score five runs, we see them winning this one by a final of 5-4.
Looking at the Mets’ starter, Luis Severino, his strikeout projection is solid at six, but we have him going just seven innings. As for the Mets’ offense, they are predicted to finish with nine hits, and they are a top-10 team in terms of home runs.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 5, 2024 Mets, Nationals