New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Prediction

MLB York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 4/30/2024

The New York Yankees (19-11) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (18-10) on Tuesday, April 30th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on YES. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Yankees are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 6:35 ET.

Yankees vs Orioles

new york yankees nba

Baltimore picked up a 2-0 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had just one more hit than the Yankees and struck out six more times, but still picked up the win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -130 on the money line.

Grayson Rodriguez started for the Orioles and picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed three walks. As for the Yankees, Clarke Schmidt got the start and took the loss, giving up one earned run in 5 2/3 innings of work.

The only run of the game came in the 8th inning when Gunnar Henderson hit a two-out home run for the Orioles. He finished the game with two RBIs and scored both of Baltimore’s runs.

The Yankees are on the road today vs. the Orioles with an overall record of 19-11, which matches the Orioles for the AL East lead. So far, they are just 5-5 in divisional matchups. New York dropped the first game of their series vs. the Orioles but took the final two games of their series vs. the Brewers.

As the road team, the Yankees are 5-3 when favored this year and 6-3 as the underdog. They have been good at home, going 8-5 compared to 11-6 on the road. New York’s overall series record is 7-1-1 this year.

The Yankees have been a profitable run line bet on the road this season, going 10-7 against the run line. Their average run differential on the road is +1.8 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in two straight games as the favorite. However, they have been a poor run line bet at home, going just 4-9 against the run line.

Despite the Yankees and Orioles combining for just two runs in their last meeting, today’s over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. The Yankees have an over/under record of 12-17 this season, with the average line in their games set at 9 runs. However, in games where the line has been set at 9.5 runs, the under has hit in both contests. Overall, the over/under line has been set below 9.5 runs in 93.3% of the Yankees’ games this season.

Nestor Cortes Gets The Start For The Yankees

New York is sending left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Orioles. He has made six starts this season and has a record of 1-2 with an ERA of 3.50. Cortes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.00. Looking back at his last outing, he took the loss vs. the Athletics, giving up three earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had put together three straight quality starts. Cortes’ strikeout per nine innings figure is currently 8.0.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Yankees have been one of the league’s most potent offenses, as they are 2nd in home runs and are averaging 4.9 runs per game (9th). They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.7 runs per contest. New York is also among the league leaders in team batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. New York’s offense has also done a good job of avoiding strikeouts, as they have the 10th fewest in the league.

Juan Soto has been the Yankees’ top hitter this season, batting .316 with a team-high seven home runs. Soto’s 24 RBIs are also the best mark on the team and 5th in the league. Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton are 2nd and 3rd on the team in RBIs, but both are hitting below .250 for the season. However, Judge has been hot of late, hitting .333 with three homers over his last six games.

The Orioles are 18-10 overall and lead the AL East by one game over the Yankees. So far, they have gone 4-0 against other teams in the AL East. Baltimore is coming off a win vs. the Yankees and dropped the final game of their series vs. the Athletics.

At home, the Orioles have gone 10-6 this year and are 8-4 on the road. Baltimore has won two straight games as the underdog, and they are 3-1 overall as the underdog. As the favorite, the Orioles are 15-9 this year, and their overall series record is 6-3. Finally, they have won three straight series on the road.

The Orioles have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 16-12 overall and 9-7 at home. They have a run differential of +1.3 runs per game overall, and +1.2 runs per game at home. They have covered the run line in two straight games as an underdog, and are 3-1 against the run line as an underdog this season.

So far this season, the Orioles have played 26 games with over/under lines lower than 9.5, and the over has hit in 16 of those games. Their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 16-10. In games with over/under lines of 9.5, the over is 2-0. Today’s over/under line is set at 9.5 runs.

Dean Kremer Gets The Start For The Orioles

Dean Kremer has been a strikeout machine in his first two starts of the season, racking up 16 K’s in just 11 innings of work. He’s coming off a win vs. the Angels in which he struck out 10 batters. Kremer has also given up just 1 home run this season, but he has allowed 3 in his first two starts.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

baltimore orioles

Adley Rutschman has been one of the Orioles’ top hitters this season, batting .316 with four homers and 17 RBIs. Not only is Rutschman on a 10-game hitting streak, but he also has a homer in three straight games. Gunnar Henderson has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 6/20 in his last five games with three homers. For the season, Henderson leads the league in homers (10) and is 6th in RBIs (23).

As a team, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are 2nd in runs scored at 5.5 per game. They are also the league’s top team in terms of slugging percentage and have the best isolated power figure in the league. Overall, they are batting .254, which is the 5th best mark in the league.


Yankees vs Orioles Prediction


Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Orioles matchup is to take the Orioles on the money line, with the payout being +105. We have the final score at 6-5 in favor of the Orioles, and with the payout being over even money, this is a great payout.

Looking at some other potential bets, you could look at the over/under line, which is sitting at 9.5 runs. Our models have this one going under, but there isn’t a lot of room for error, so we would stick with the Orioles on the money line.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.