New York Yankees vs Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB York Yankees vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 4/27/2024

The New York Yankees (17-10) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (17-8) on Saturday, April 27th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on MLBN. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Yankees are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 7:10 ET.

Yankees vs Brewers

new york yankees nba

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Yankees vs Brewers series. New York went into the matchup as the slight favorites at -137 on the money line, but Milwaukee picked up a 7-6 win. Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Yankees could only muster one more run in the 4th inning. As for the Brewers, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 6th, and both offenses went silent after that.

Luis Gil got the start for the Yankees, going just five innings while giving up five runs and took the loss. Michael Tonkin also had a rough outing out of the bullpen, giving up two earned runs. Jared Koenig got the win for the Brewers out of the bullpen as Colin Rea went six innings, giving up five earned runs.

Joey Ortiz and Blake Perkins each homered for the Brewers, while Juan Soto went deep for the Yankees. Soto finished the game 2/4 with five RBIs, but it came in a losing effort.

New York is on the road today vs. the Brewers, having dropped the first game of this series. The Yankees are 17-10 overall, and they are 5-4 in AL East Division games. Currently, they are tied with the Orioles for the division lead. The Yankees have dropped two straight games, and their road trip started with losing the final game of their series vs. the Athletics.

At home, the Yankees have gone 8-5 this year and are 9-5 on the road. So far, they have been really good in night games, going 10-4. As the favorite, the Yankees are 11-8 this year and 6-2 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Yankees are 6-1-1 this year.

When the Yankees win, they win by an average of 2.6 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 2.4 runs per game. They are 12-15 against the run line this season, and they have covered the run line in eight of their 14 road games. As the underdog, they are 7-1 against the run line.

So far this season, the Yankees have played 26 games with an average combined run total of 8.0. Their over/under record is 10-16, and the average over/under line in their games has been 8.0. In games with an over/under line of 8.5, their record is 7-6. Today’s over/under line is 8.5, and in 7 games with that line, the over has hit 7 times. Overall, 25.9% of their games have had an over/under line of 8.5.

Carlos Rodón Gets The Start For The Yankees

Carlos Rodón and the Yankees are on the road to face the Brewers. Rodón has started 2 games this season, and he is coming off a no-decision in his last start, where he went 7 innings and struck out 4. He took the loss in his first start of the year, giving up 3 earned runs in 4 innings.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Yankees are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a better offense on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per game. As a team, the Yankees are batting .236, which is 12th in the league, and are 4th in the league in home runs. Their team on-base percentage of .327 is 6th in the league.

Juan Soto comes into the game with the Yankees’ top batting average (.324) and on-base percentage (.437). He also leads the team with seven home runs and 23 RBIs. Soto is currently on a four-game hitting streak and has four homers in his last nine games. Giancarlo Stanton is 2nd on the team with five homers but has a batting average of just .232.

Milwaukee is hosting the Yankees today with an overall record of 17-8, and they lead the NL Central by a half-game over the Cubs. The Brewers have won three straight games, and these wins have come after dropping the first game of their series vs. the Pirates.

So far, the Brewers have gone 7-3 in divisional games, and they have won two straight games at home. This season, they are 12-4 on the road. Milwaukee has been really good in day games, going 11-2 this year. As the home underdog, the Brewers are 1-2 this season, and they are 9-4 as the underdog overall. When favored, the Brewers have gone 8-4 this year, and they are 5-1-2 in series this year.

When betting the run line, the Brewers have been a better bet on the road than at home, where they are just 2-7. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 9-4, than as the favorite, where they are just 3-9. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.3, while it is -2.5 in losing games.

When the Milwaukee Brewers play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 15-10. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 10-4. So far this season, 8.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher. Their last two games have gone over the total, with 13 runs scored in their most recent game.

Joe Ross Gets The Start For The Brewers

Joe Ross will be making his third start of the season for the Brewers, and he has yet to pick up a win. He took a loss in his last outing against the Pirates, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up 2 runs. In his first start of the year, he picked up a win vs. the Reds, going 6 1/3 innings and striking out 7.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

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The Brewers have been one of the league’s top offenses so far this season, averaging 5.4 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .262, which is 3rd in the league, and have the 3rd most home runs in the league.

William Contreras has been on a tear of late, hitting .324 over his last nine games and is batting .356 for the season. He also has a team-high 22 RBIs and is on a three-game hitting streak. Rhys Hoskins and Christian Yelich are tied for the team lead with five homers, but Hoskins is batting just .225 for the season.

 

Yankees vs Brewers Prediction

 

With the Brewers as the underdogs at +114, they are offering a lot of value on the money line. We actually have the Brewers winning this one 6-5. So, we would also recommend taking the over if you’re looking for a second bet.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Joe Ross finishing with five strikeouts compared to Carlos Rodón with seven. Ross is also projected to finish with fewer earned runs than Rodón, and with the Yankees’ offense projected to finish with the seventh most home runs today, we could see Rodón getting hurt by the long ball.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.