New York Yankees vs San Diego Padres MLB Betting Prediction

MLB York Yankees vs San Diego Padres Prediction 5/25/2024

The New York Yankees (36-17) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (27-27) on Saturday, May 25th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on YES. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 9:40 ET.

Yankees vs Padres

new york yankees nba

New York cruised to an easy 8-0 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 3rd inning, scoring five of their eight runs. As for the Padres, they had their best chance to score in the 6th, but could only muster three hits and left six runners on base.

Carlos Rodón started for the Yankees and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just two strikeouts but induced three double plays. On the other side, Yu Darvish got the start for the Padres and took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work.

Juan Soto and Giancarlo Stanton each homered for the Yankees, while Aaron Judge went 1/4 with two RBIs. Gleyber Torres also had a two RBI game at the plate.

The Yankees are 36-17 overall, putting them three games ahead of the Orioles in the AL East. New York has taken the first game of their series vs. the Padres and have won three straight games overall. The Yankees have been good in the AL East and have an overall division record of 8-8 this year.

At home, the Yankees are 18-8 this year, and they have gone 18-9 on the road. So far, they have been really good in day games, going 16-6 this year. The Yankees have been the favorite in most of their games, putting together a record of 27-13 as the favorite. As for how they have fared as the underdog, they are 9-4 this year.

The Yankees are 17-10 against the run line on the road this season, and they have covered in five straight road games. They are 20-20 against the run line as the favorite and 10-3 as the underdog. Their average run margin in wins is 3.8, while it is -2.5 in losses.

Today’s over/under line of 7.5 runs is lower than the Yankees’ average line of 8 runs per game. The Yankees have played in 45 games with higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and their over/under record is 2-4 when the line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.1 runs per game, and their overall over/under record is 23-28.

Marcus Stroman Gets The Start For The Yankees

Right-hander Marcus Stroman gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces the Padres on the road. Stroman has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with an ERA of 3.05. So far, he has turned in four quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he went 7 1/3 innings, giving up just one earned run. In that outing, he finished with a no-decision. Stroman’s ERA at home is 3.59, compared to 3.09 on the road. He has been pitching well recently, as he hasn’t taken the loss in any of his last three outings.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they also have the best team on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. As a team, they are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. The Yankees have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.

Juan Soto and Aaron Judge have been two of the Yankees’ top power threats this season, with Soto hitting 14 homers and Judge at 16. Soto is batting .315 for the season, and Judge comes in at .275. Judge has been hot of late, going 11/28 with five homers over his last nine games. Soto has also been swinging a hot bat, going 12/35 with five homers in this stretch.

San Diego is at an even 27-27 overall this season, and they are 6.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Padres are in 3rd place in the division and trail the Giants for the second spot in the NL West, also by 6.5 games. So far, they have gone 12-13 in divisional games.

At home, the Padres are just 10-17 this year, but they have been good on the road at 17-10. So far, they have dropped four straight at home. As the underdog, the Padres are 11-12 this year, and they are 16-15 when favored. San Diego’s overall series record is 10-6-2, and they have won two straight series.

San Diego is 8-19 vs. the run line at home this season, and they have failed to cover the run line in four straight games at Petco Park. They are 21-6 vs. the run line on the road this season, and their average run margin in winning games is +3.7 runs per game.

The San Diego Padres are playing at home against the New York Yankees today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Padres games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 29-24. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 9-8. Overall, 63.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in their last three games.

Dylan Cease Gets The Start For The Padres

Dylan Cease has made six quality starts this year and is coming off a rough outing vs. the Braves, where he gave up five earned runs in four innings of work. Cease finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Cease’s ERA for the season is 3.05, along with a record of 5-3. Opponents are batting .170 off Cease this season. His WHIP for the year is .93, and Cease is averaging 11.14 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, Cease has given up five homers and is averaging 3.05 walks per nine innings. At home, Cease is 1-3 with a 4.03 ERA.

Padres Offense Breakdown

san diego padres

Over his last six games, Jake Cronenworth has gone 4/21 (.190) at the plate, but he does have four RBIs during that stretch. Cronenworth is tied for the team lead with eight homers and is 11th in the league with 34 RBIs. Jurickson Profar is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as his 32 is 13th best in the MLB. Profar is 2nd on the Padres with seven homers and is batting .331 for the season.

San Diego’s top power threat is Fernando Tatis Jr., but he has a team-high eight homers while batting just .244. Tatis Jr. has also struggled at the plate of late, going 4/25 in his last six games. Luis Arraez has been hot for the Padres, going 14/27 in his last six games and is batting .335 for the season.

Yankees vs Padres Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Yankees vs. Padres matchup is to take the Padres on the money line at -119. We see this game finishing with a 6-5 win for the Padres, giving us some wiggle room with the over/under line sitting at 7.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Dylan Cease finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the third-best among all starters today. As for Marcus Stroman, we have him finishing with just four K’s, which is the lowest among all starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.