Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres MLB Betting Prediction

MLBN Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Prediction 5/27/2024

The Miami Marlins (19-35) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (28-28) on Monday, May 27th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on None. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.

Marlins vs Padres

miami marlins nba

Miami closed out their series vs. the Diamondbacks with a 3-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +113 on the money line. It was a three-run 7th inning that turned things in their favor, and the Diamondbacks could only score one run, which came in the 8th.

Ryan Weathers put together a good start for the Marlins, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out seven Diamondbacks batters. Miami’s offense was carried by Bryan De La Cruz, who went 2/5 with a run scored.

Miami is 5th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 19 games, and they are 19-35 overall. The Marlins are just 4-12 against other NL East teams this year. Today, they are on the road to take on the Padres, and they are 9-16 on the road compared to 10-19 at home.

So far, the Marlins have been the favorite in 14 games, and they are just 3-11 in those contests. As for their games as the underdog, the Marlins are 16-24. Miami’s overall series record is 5-11-1, and they have won four straight series.

When the Marlins win, they win big. Miami is 22-32 overall on the run line, but their average run margin in wins is +2.9. They are 13-12 on the run line on the road, and they have covered the run line in six straight road games. The Marlins have been a good run line bet as the underdog, going 21-19 on the run line in those games. They are just 1-13 on the run line as the favorite.

The Miami Marlins are on the road to face the San Diego Padres today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The Marlins have played to the over in 30 of their 54 games this season, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit in 8 of their 10 games. Currently, the under has hit in each of their last four games.

Trevor Rogers Gets The Start For The Marlins

Miami is sending left-hander Trevor Rogers to the mound today vs. the Padres. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 1-6 with a 6.11 ERA. Rogers’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.84. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had allowed at least four earned runs in three straight starts. The left-hander’s ERA on the road is 9.81 compared to 6.4 at home.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .234, which is 14th in the league, but they are near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. Miami’s offense is also the worst in the league in terms of drawing walks.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Jake Burger are both batting .259 over their last seven games, with each having one home run during that stretch. Chisholm Jr. comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak. Over his last four games, Christian Bethancourt is 3/9, with a home run. Josh Bell has gone deep six times this season, which is 12th in the league, and he leads the team with 27 RBIs.

San Diego is coming off a game in which they closed out their series vs. the Yankees with a 5-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +111 on the money line. It was a four-run 2nd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Yankees could only score two runs, both of which came in the 6th.

Joe Musgrove put together a good start for the Padres, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. San Diego’s offense was carried by Ha-Seong Kim, who went 2/3 with a run scored and an RBI.

San Diego will host the Marlins today with an overall record of 28-28, and they are 5.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Padres are also 3rd in the NL West, sharing the same record as the Giants and are 5.5 games behind the Dodgers. So far, they are 12-13 in divisional games.

At home, the Padres have gone just 11-18 this year, but they have been much better on the road at 17-10. San Diego is coming off a series loss, dropping two of three games to the Yankees. Heading into today’s game, the Padres are 6-4 over their last ten.

The Padres have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 30-26 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, where they are 21-6 on the run line. However, they have struggled to cover the run line at home, going just 9-20. Overall, their run differential on the season is +0.1 runs per game.

San Diego has played to a 29-26 over/under record this season, with the average line set at 8 runs per game. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the Padres have gone 9-9. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.7 runs per game. The under has hit in their last two games, and 62.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.

Michael King Gets The Start For The Padres

Michael King gets the start for the Padres today and is coming off a strong outing vs. the Reds. In that start, he went 6 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, and got the win. Looking at his overall numbers, King has made 10 starts and five of them have been quality starts. His ERA for the season is 4.28, along with a record of 4-4. Opponents are batting .218 off King this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.89 strikeouts and 4.13 walks.

Padres Offense Breakdown

san diego padres

For the season, the Padres are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this year, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, the Padres are batting .255, which is 4th in the league, and are also one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams.

Fernando Tatis Jr. comes into the game as the Padres’ leader in home runs, but he is batting just .244 for the season. However, he has gone deep just once in his past five games, hitting .200 over that stretch. Luis Arraez has been hot of late, going 11/23 in his last five games, and is batting .335 for the season.

Marlins vs Padres Prediction

Our predicted final score for this game is 4.1-4 in favor of the Padres. However, with the money line payout for the Padres being -182, we are recommending taking the over at 7.5 runs. Our predicted payout for the over is -121, and we have the Padres’ chances of winning at 57%.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Michael King going 6 innings and finishing with 6 strikeouts. As for Trevor Rogers, we have him finishing with 5 K’s over 5.2 innings.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.