New York City vs Toronto MLS Betting Prediction

MLS New York City vs Toronto Prediction 5/11/2024

New York City (4-5-2) travel to face off against Toronto (6-4-1) on Saturday, May 11th. This match will be played at BMO Field in Toronto, ON. Toronto is coming off a win in their previous match, while New York City will be looking to get back on track from a loss to the Toronto. The match is scheduled for 7:30 PM ET.

New York City vs Toronto

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New York City Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their last match, New York City hosted the Colorado Rapids SC. Despite playing at home and being the favorite, they came up short by a score of 2-0. The over/under line for the match was 0.5 goals, which the two clubs fell short of.

New York City’s offense took a total of 17 shots, but only three of these were on goal. Mitja Ilenic, Monsef Bakrar, and Santiago Rodriguez each finished without a goal, with Rodriguez being the only player to take more than two shots.

On the defensive end, New York City allowed two goals on Colorado’s four total shots on goal. Matt Freese finished with two saves, and the club’s defenders finished with four blocked shots and 10 interceptions.

In their last six matches, New York City has gone 3-1-2, with their only loss coming at home to the Colorado Rapids. Overall, they are 4-5-2, which has them in 7th place in the Eastern Conference. They are tied with the Philadelphia Union and Charlotte FC, with all three teams having 14 points. On the road this season, New York City has yet to win, going 0-3-1. Following this match, they will be on the road again, taking on the Philadelphia Union on May 15th.

Toronto Is Coming Off A Win

In their last match, Toronto hosted FC Dallas, picking up a 3-1 win. The money line payout for Toronto was +108, and the four combined goals fell short of the over/under goal line of 5.5 goals.

Toronto’s offensive attack took a total of 12 shots and six shots on goal. Bernardeschi had a big match, scoring two times on his five shots on goal. Matthew Longstaff scored the other goal for Toronto.

As for the Toronto defense, they allowed just two shots on goal and blocked four shots. Sean Johnson made one save on the match, and Toronto finished with six corners compared to four for FC Dallas.

In their last seven matches, Toronto has gone 4-3, and they have won three straight matches. Overall, they are 6-4-1, and they are in 3rd place in the Eastern Conference. At home, they have been strong, going 4-1, and they have been favored in five of their matches, going 4-1 in those contests. Following this match, they will head on the road to take on Nashville SC on May 16th.

New York City Offense Breakdown

So far this season, New York City has scored an average of 1.0 goals per match, which is 26th in the MLS. Santiago Rodríguez has been their top scorer, finding the back of the net four times, which is 24th in the league. He also leads the team in shots on goal, with 13, which is 12th in the MLS. Overall, New York City has been able to generate 4.7 shots on goal per match, which is 15th in the league. They have also been able to earn 4.9 corners per match, which is 13th in the MLS. In terms of passing, they have been successful on 81.7% of their attempts, which is 19th in the league.

Toronto Offense Breakdown


Prince-Osei Owusu is the top goal scorer for Toronto this season, as he has found the back of the net five times, which is 14th in the league. Federico Bernardeschi has two goals and three assists, which is 23rd in MLS. He also leads the club in shots on goal, while Toronto is 24th in the league in that category. This season, Toronto has scored 1.3 goals per match, which is 18th in the league.

New York City Defense Breakdown

Heading into their match against Toronto, the New York City defense is currently 6th in MLS in goals allowed per match at 1.1. Over their last three matches, they have given up an average of 1.0 goals. However, they have struggled against some of the better offenses in the league, giving up two goals to the Colorado Rapids, who are 12th in scoring, and one goal to D.C. United, who is 10th. Keeper Matt Freese is 17th in MLS with two clean sheets and 6th in saves with 36.

Toronto Defense Breakdown

Heading into their match against New York City, Toronto’s defense is 12th in MLS in goals allowed per match (1.3). They have been a bit inconsistent, as they have given up three or more goals twice this season. However, they have also recorded three clean sheets. They are coming off a match against FC Dallas in which they gave up just one goal. Overall, they have been solid as of late, as they have given up just four goals over their last three matches. Sean Johnson is 11th in MLS with three clean sheets this season.

New York City vs Toronto Prediction

With two of the better defensive clubs in the MLS taking the pitch, we have this one projected to end in a 1-0 win for New York City. Coming into the match, New York City is 6th in goals allowed and our projections have them recording two interceptions compared to five for Toronto. Look for Talles Magno to have the best chance to score a goal for New York City, while we are giving Ayo Akinola the best odds to score for Toronto.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.