The Dallas Mavericks (8-2) travel to face off against the New Orleans Pelicans (4-6) on Tuesday, November 14th. This game will be played at Smoothie King Center in Smoothie King Center and televised on BSNO. The Mavericks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pelicans are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pelicans. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.
Mavericks vs Pelicans
The Mavericks Are Coming Off A Win
The Mavericks beat the Pelicans in their most recent game, ending with a score of 136-124. Mavericks’ victory in this game wasn’t just a straight-up win; they also covered the spread as -3-point favorites. The over/under line entering this matchup was 236 points, and both teams achieved a total score that exceeded that line.
Facing the Pelicans today, the Mavericks look to maintain their record above .500, which currently stands at 8-2. Away from their home court, the Mavericks have a 4-1 record this season, in contrast to their 4-1 record at home.
Against the spread, the Mavericks have covered in two straight games and have an overall ATS record of 6-4. This season, Dallas has a 5-3 record against the spread when they are favored, and they are 1-1 when playing as underdogs.
The Pelicans Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
Most recently, the Pelicans lost to the Mavericks with a final score of 136-124. Alonside their straight-up loss, the Pelicans failed to cover the spread as +3 point underdogs. The over/under line heading into this matchup was 236 points in which the two teams surpassed.
So far this season, the Pelicans have a record of just 4-6, as they look to pick up a win over the Mavericks. Currently, the team is 10th in the Western Conference as well as 3rd in the Southwest division.
So far, New Orleans’ ATS record is below .500 at 4-6. New Orleans has failed to cover the spread in three straight road games and are 2-3 ATS on the road compared to 2-3 at home.
Mavericks Offense Breakdown
The Mavericks step onto the court for today’s game as one of the NBA’s top-scoring squads, putting up 124.1 points per game (2nd). When looking at the Mavericks pace of play, they tend to play an up-tempo style of basketball. So far, the team is in the upper half of the NBA in possessions per game, averaging 101. The team has not only adopted an up-tempo pace but has also integrated this style with one of the NBA’s top field goal percentages, currently at 48%.
Pelicans Offense Breakdown
Through 10 games the Pelicans are averaging 109.1 points per contest, placing them 26th in the NBA. When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Pelicans are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 99.8 per contest. Not only is the team one of the more deliberate units in the NBA, they have yet to find their shooting stroke, ranking just 23rd in the league in field goal percentage 23rd%.
Mavericks Team Defense
As they prepare for the upcoming game, the Mavericks is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 117.6 points per game (24th).
Opponents are hitting 56.3% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 35.8% of their three-point attempts.
Pelicans Team Defense
Looking at the Pelicans defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 116.2 points per game (22nd).
So far this season, the Pelicans’ defense has struggled with fouls, averaging 13th in fouls per contest. On average, opponents are getting to the line 22.9 times per game vs. New Orleans.
Key Players For The Mavericks And Pelicans
In today’s game, we anticipate Luka Doncic leading the scoring for the Mavericks, contributing 20 points while shooting 7/13 from the field. This season, he is averaging 32.6 points per game along with 8.4 boards.
On the other side, Brandon Ingram is our projected leading scorer for the Pelicans. We have him ending the game with a team-high 20 and grabbing 5 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 48.9%, and he is contributing 22.6 points per game on average.
Mavericks vs Pelicans Trends
- Across their last three road contests, Dallas has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 122 points per game.
- Across their three previous home games, New Orleans has an ATS mark of 0-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 0-3 while averaging 106 points per game.
- Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Pelicans have a straight up record of 4-6. But, their mark vs the spread was just 4-6.
- The last ten games that Dallas was favored, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 7-3 straight up.
We’re calling a win for the Mavericks, with a final score of 121-107, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Mavericks at -4.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 240 and given that our model is projecting 228 points between the teams, we like the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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