The Miami Heat (4-4) travel to face off against the Atlanta Hawks (5-3) on Saturday, November 11th. This game will be played at State Farm Arena in State Farm Arena and televised on BSSE. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.
Heat vs Hawks
The Heat Are Coming Off A Win
In their most recent game, the Heat took down the Grizzlies by a score of 108-102. the Heat entered the second half with an advantage, leading with 54-46.
Coming into today’s matchup, the Heat is focused on adding to their three game winning streak, with an overall record of 4-4. Away from home, the Heat have a 1-3 record this season, while maintaining a 3-1 record in their home games.
Miami comes in with an overall ATS record of 2-6 so far this season. Miami has not been good vs. the spread in their last four home games, and they are 0-4 ATS at home compared to 2-2 on the road.
The Hawks Are Coming Off A Win
The Hawks’ most recent game versus the Magic saw Trae Young lead the Hawks with 41 points while shooting 12/27 from the field. Jalen Johnson also added 19 points as the Hawks won the game by a score of 120-119.
Over the Hawks’ last five games, they are 2-3 and come in with an overall record of 5-3. The Eastern Conference sees the Hawks currently at 4th, and in the Southeast division, they are 1st.
Atlanta’s ATS record is currently below .500 at 3-5 for the season. The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in three straight games as the favorite and are 3-2 vs. the spread as the underdog.
Heat Offense Breakdown
This season, the Miami offense is ranked 27th in the NBA in scoring at 107.5 points per game. When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Heat are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 98.6 per contest. Even though the Heat are one of the more efficient 3-point shooting teams in the NBA at 38%, their slower-style of play may be holding back the team’s offense from fully taking off.
Hawks Offense Breakdown
Heading into play, the Hawks’ offense is rated 3rd in the league in scoring, averaging 121.8 points per contest. In terms of pace, the Hawks are one of the top units in the NBA, averaging 101.6 possessions per game. Even though their effective field goal percentage in the NBA is on the lower side at 54%, the team’s commitment to an up-tempo playing style allows them to offset their less-than-ideal shooting figures.
Heat Team Defense
Coming into the game, the Heat defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 37.5% of their games. Currently, they are 10th in the NBA at 110.1 points per game allowed.
For the season, Miami is ranked 28th in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 19.6 free-throws per game vs. the Heat and have an overall field goal percentage of 48.6%.
Hawks Team Defense
Coming into today’s game, the Hawks’ defense is giving up an average of 117.0 points per contest.
The Atlanta defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.0% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 48.1% of their field goal attempts vs. Atlanta.
Key Players For The Heat And Hawks
For today’s matchup, we project Bam Adebayo to lead the scoring for the Heat, putting up 18 points and shooting at a rate of 7/13. During this season, he is delivering an average of 22.7 points per game, along with 9.3 rebounds.
On the other side, Trae Young is our projected leading scorer for the Hawks. We have him ending the game with a team-high 16 and grabbing 3 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 35.6%, and his scoring average is 24.1 points per game.
Heat vs Hawks Trends
- Across the Heat last ten road games, the team averaged 102 points per game while allowing 105. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 6-4, while going 4-6 straight-up.
- Through their last three home contests, the Hawks offense has averaged 120 points per game while allowing an average of 116. Atlanta posted an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-2 ATS.
- Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 0-5. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-3.
- Although the Hawks have a strong straight up record in their last five games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 1-4.
Heat vs Hawks Prediction
For a point-spread bet in this Hawks vs. Hawks matchup, we’re leaning towards the Heat at +4.5. Although our projections show the Hawks winning 111-109, we suggest placing your bet on the Heat for the point-spread.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 228.5 and given that our model is projecting 220 points between the teams, we like the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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