Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 6/12/2024

The Boston Celtics (64-18) travel to face off against the Dallas Mavericks (50-32) on Wednesday, June 12th. This game will be played at American Airlines Center in Dallas and televised on ABC. The Celtics are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mavericks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mavericks. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.

Celtics vs Mavericks

boston celtics nba

After a 28-25 first quarter in favor of the Mavericks, the Celtics outscored the Mavericks in the 2nd and 3rd quarters by a score of 29-23 in each. The Celtics picked up a 105-98 win, which was exactly the spread for the game. The over/under line of 214.5 points was off by 11.5 points, as the teams combined for just 203 points.

Defensively, the Mavericks held the Celtics to just 45.2% shooting from the field and 25.6% from three-point range. Jrue Holiday led the Celtics with 26 points, and Luka Doncic had a triple-double for the Mavericks with 32 points, 11 assists, and 11 rebounds.

Celtics Offense Breakdown

Boston comes into today’s game as the NBA’s second-ranked scoring offense, at 120.6 points per game. Despite their high-scoring ways, the Celtics are just 25th in pace, averaging 97.2 possessions per contest. The Celtics lead the league in both three-point attempts and three-point makes this season.

Jaylen Brown has been carrying the Celtics offense of late, averaging 27.2 points per game in his last five games. This has come on a shooting percentage of 53.2%. Over his last five games, Jayson Tatum has averaged 2.6 made threes per game but has hit just 31% of his three-point attempts in that stretch. For the season, Tatum is averaging 26.9 points per game.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

dallas mavericks

Coming into the game, Luka Doncic is averaging 31.8 points per game over his last five games, while hitting 50% of his shots from the field. In these games, he also averaged 4.6 made threes per game. For the season, Doncic is averaging 33.9 points, 9.8 assists, and 9.2 rebounds. Kyrie Irving is averaging 25.6 points per game for the season but has struggled from three of late, making just 1.6 threes per game over his last five games.

Dallas is 4th in both three-point attempts and makes this season but are just 15th in three-point shooting percentage. Overall, they are 9th in scoring at 117.9 points per game. The Mavericks are also a good two-point shooting team, hitting 56% of their attempts, which is 6th best in the league.

Celtics Team Defense

So far this season, the Celtics have been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, ranking 3rd in points allowed per game at 107.8. They have been especially tough on the road, giving up just 108.8 points per game away from home.

One of the reasons Boston has been so successful on defense is their ability to protect the rim, as they are 2nd in the league in blocked shots at 6.6 per game. They have also done a good job of keeping opponents off the free-throw line, ranking 1st in made free-throws allowed per game at 16.7.

Over their last five games, the Celtics have been even better on the defensive end, ranking 3rd in points allowed at 102. During that stretch, they have been especially good at defending the three-point line, giving up just 28.8% shooting from beyond the arc.

Mavericks Team Defense

So far this season, the Mavericks have been middle of the pack, ranking 16th in points allowed per game at 113.5. At home, they are also 16th in points allowed at 113.3. Over their last five games, they have been even better, ranking 6th in points allowed at 105.4.

One area where the Mavericks have struggled is in steals, as they are 25th in the league in that category. However, they have been solid at protecting the rim, ranking 14th in blocked shots per game.

When it comes to defending the three-point line, the Mavericks have been average, ranking 16th in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 36.4%. Over their last five games, they have been even better, ranking 8th in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 34.1%.

Key Players For The Celtics And Mavericks

The outlook for today’s matchup points to Jayson Tatum as the primary point contributor for the Celtics, finishing with 27 points while maintaining a 9/20 shooting accuracy. This season, he is averaging 26.9 points per game along with 8.1 boards.

As for Dallas, Luka Doncic is projected to be the primary scorer for the Mavericks. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 33, and adding 10 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 48.7%, and his scoring average is 33.9 points per game.

Celtics vs Mavericks Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Boston has an ATS record of 0-3 while averaging 109 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 7-2-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 106 points per game in this stretch.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Boston has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 6-4 and an ATS mark of 5-5.

Celtics vs Mavericks Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +1.5, we have the Celtics as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 212.5 and our model has the Celtics and Mavericks finishing with a combined 274 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.