Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat NBA Betting prediction

NBA Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction 1/25/2024

The Boston Celtics (34-10) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (24-20) on Thursday, January 25th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on TNT. The Celtics are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Heat are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mavericks. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Celtics vs Heat

boston celtics nba

The Celtics Are Coming Off A Win

Most recently, the Celtics bested the Mavericks with a score of 119-110. Going into the second half the Celtics held the lead at 65-59.

The Celtics are hoping to extend their two game winning streak and improve their overall record of 34-10. At home, the Celtics have gone 20-1 compared to 14-9 on the road this season.

Boston possesses a .500 ATS record for the season, sitting at 21-21 ATS. When playing on the road, the Celtics hold an ATS record of 9-13 in contrast to a 12-8 record against the spread when playing at home.

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Miami’s most recently played the Grizzlies and lost with a final score of 105-96. The Heat turned the game around and came out on top, despite being in a trailing position at halftime with 49-42.

Heading into their matchup vs. the Celtics, the Heat are 24-20 overall and are looking to snap a four game skid. In the Eastern Conference, they are currently 6th and are in 1st place in the Southeast division.

This season, Miami holds an ATS record of 19-23, which also includes their four game losing streak against the spread. Miami has not been good vs. the spread in their last two home games, and they are 8-13 ATS at home compared to 11-10 on the road.

Celtics Offense Breakdown

The Celtics arrive for today’s game as one of the NBA’s top offensive teams, scoring an average of 120.3 points per game (4th).

So far this season, the Celtics have been one of the NBA’s top offenses, averaging 120.3 points per game (4th). However, their scoring has been slightly lower on the road, where they are averaging 117.9 points per game (7th).

In terms of pace, the Celtics are 15th in the league, averaging 98.8 possessions per game. When it comes to shooting, Boston is 15th in field goal percentage at 47%.

One area where the Celtics have excelled is three-point shooting. They lead the NBA in both three-pointers made per game (16.2) and three-point attempts per game (42.8). Overall, Boston is shooting 37% from beyond the arc (6th).

Heat Offense Breakdown

miami heat

This season, the Miami offense is ranked 27th in the NBA in scoring at 110.5 points per game.

At home this season, the Heat are averaging 114.2 points per game (21st). Overall, Miami is 27th in the league in scoring at 110.5 points per game. In terms of their pace, the Heat are 29th in the NBA.

When it comes to three-point shooting, Miami is 7th in the league at 37%. They are also 16th in three-point makes per game (12.4). In terms of field goal percentage, the Heat are 23rd in the NBA.

So far this season, Miami has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 36.4% of their games. In terms of assists, the Heat are 19th in the league. At home, they have made an average of 19.4 free throws per game (6th).

Celtics Team Defense

Currently, the Celtics’ defense holds the 5th rank in the NBA, allowing 110.6 points per game. Opponents are hitting 52.1% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 34.8% of their three-point attempts.

Heat Team Defense

In the current season, the Heat defense has excelled, sitting 4th in the NBA by allowing 110.5 points per game. For the season, Miami is ranked 28th in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 20.5 free-throws per game vs. the Heat and have an overall field goal percentage of 47.4%.

Key Players For The Celtics And Heat

For today’s matchup, we project Jayson Tatum to lead the scoring for the Celtics, putting up 25 points and shooting at a rate of 9/18. For the season, he has been averaging 27 points per game, in addition to 8.4 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Jimmy Butler to be the top scorer for the Heat. Our projection has him finishing the game with 21, and he is expected to secure 5 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 48.1% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 20.9 points per game.

Celtics vs Heat Trends

  • Through their last ten road games, Boston has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 7-3 while averaging 121 points per game.
  • Through their last ten home games, Miami has an ATS record of just 3-6-1. However, their overall record was 5-5 while averaging 104 points per game.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 2-3.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Celtics have a straight up record of 8-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 6-4.

Celtics vs Heat Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Celtics vs. Heat matchup, we’re leaning towards the Heat at +7. Although our projections show the Celtics winning 116-110, we suggest placing your bet on the Heat for the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 225 and given that our model is projecting 226 points between the teams, we like the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.