Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks NBA Betting prediction

NBA Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction 1/11/2024

The Boston Celtics (29-8) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Bucks (25-12) on Thursday, January 11th. This game will be played at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee and televised on TNT. The Celtics are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Bucks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Timberwolves. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Celtics vs Bucks

boston celtics nba

The Celtics Are Coming Off A Win

In their most recent game, the Celtics took down the Timberwolves by a score of 127-120. Going into the second half the Celtics held the lead at 54-53.

The Celtics have an overall record of 29-8 and are 3-2 in their last five games. As of now, they are ranked 1st in the Eastern Conference and are also 1st in the Atlantic division.

Boston possesses an ATS record of 17-18 for this season, including their ongoing two game losing streak against the spread. On the road, the Celtics have an ATS record of 7-11 compared to a 10-7 record vs. the spread at home.

The Bucks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Bucks were defeated by the Jazz in the most recent game, concluding with a score of 132-116. In addition to their straight-up loss, the Bucks also couldn’t meet the spread, coming up short as -8 point favorites. Before the game, the over/under line was 242.5 points, and both teams ended up surpassing that mark.

With a 25-12 overall record, the Bucks are in 2nd place in the Eastern Conference and are 1st in the Central Division. They are looking to end their two game losing streak with a win against the Celtics.

Milwaukee comes in with an overall ATS record of 15-22 so far this season. Milwaukee has failed to cover the spread in four straight home games and are 7-13 ATS at home compared to 8-9 on the road.

Celtics Offense Breakdown

For the season, the Boston offense is the 5th ranked unit in the NBA, at 121.3 points per contest.

This season, the Celtics are one of the most prolific three-point shooting teams in the NBA, leading the league in three-point attempts and makes per game. So far, they have made an average of 16.2 three-pointers per game, which is 6th in the league. Overall, they have a three-point shooting percentage of 37%.

When it comes to scoring, the Celtics are averaging 121.3 points per game, which is 5th in the NBA. Interestingly, they have actually scored more points on the road (119.5 PPG) than at home (123.3 PPG).

Overall, the Celtics have a field goal percentage of 48%, which is 11th in the league. In terms of two-point shooting, they are 3rd in the NBA with a 57% success rate. In terms of pace, Boston is 18th in the league at 98.8 possessions per game.

Bucks Offense Breakdown

milwaukee bucks

The Bucks step onto the court for today’s game as one of the NBA’s top-scoring squads, putting up 124.1 points per game (2nd).

Coming into tonight’s game, the Bucks are one of the most potent offenses in the league, averaging 124.1 points per game (2nd). At home, they have been even better, scoring 124.6 points per game (3rd).

So far this season, Milwaukee has outscored the NBA scoring average in 78.4% of their games. They are also one of the top teams in terms of pace, ranking 4th in the league.

When it comes to shooting, the Bucks have been efficient, hitting 49% of their shots (3rd). They have also been excellent at getting to the free-throw line, ranking 2nd in attempts per game (26.8).

Celtics Team Defense

This season, the Celtics defense has been impressive, holding the 3rd position in the league while permitting an average of 111.0 points per contest. On two point field goal attempts, the Celtics’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 51.2% and allowing 36.2% from beyond the arc.

Bucks Team Defense

On defense, the Bucks are ranked 24th in the NBA this season. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA scoring average in 67.6% of their games. In their previous matchup vs. the Jazz, the Bucks’ defense struggled, giving up a field goal percentage of 52% leading to 132 points.

Key Players For The Celtics And Bucks

For today’s matchup, we project Jayson Tatum to lead the scoring for the Celtics, putting up 26 points and shooting at a rate of 9/19. Throughout this season, his average stands at 28 points per game, along with 8.5 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Giannis Antetokounmpo to be the top scorer for the Bucks. Our projection has him finishing the game with 30, and he is expected to secure 11 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 60.7% and is averaging 31.4 points per contest.

Celtics vs Bucks Trends

  • In their last three games away from home, the Celtics have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 124 points per game in this stretch.
  • Although Milwaukee has a straight up record of 3-2 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 125 points per game in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the Celtics have an ATS record of 3-0 in their last three games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 3-0.
  • Spanning across their last three games as the betting favorite, the Bucks have gone 0-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.

Celtics vs Bucks Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Celtics vs. Bucks matchup, we’re leaning towards the Celtics at +6. Although our projections show the Bucks winning 118-114, we suggest placing your bet on the Celtics for the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 241, and our model predicts the Celtics and Bucks to score a combined 232 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.