Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction 3/28/2024

The Milwaukee Bucks (46-26) travel to face off against the New Orleans Pelicans (44-28) on Thursday, March 28th. This game will be played at Smoothie King Center in New Orleans and televised on NBA. Both the Bucks and Pelicans will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00 ET.

Bucks vs Pelicans

milwaukee bucks nba

The Bucks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their latest game against the Lakers, Giannis Antetokounmpo was the top scorer for the Bucks’ offense, scoring 29 points and shooting 14/25 from the field. Damian Lillard contributed 27 points, but Milwaukee lost the game 128-124.

In their last ten games, the Bucks are 5-5 and come into today’s game vs. the Pelicans with an overall record of 46-26. Against other Eastern Conference teams, the Bucks are 31-14 and have gone 15-12 in non-conference games.

Milwaukee’s ATS record sits below .500 (32-40). This season, Milwaukee has a 27-33 record against the spread when they are the favorites, and they are 5-7 as underdogs.

The Pelicans Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

New Orleans’ most recently played the Thunder and lost with a final score of 119-112. Alongside their straight-up loss, the Pelicans couldn’t cover as +1 point underdogs. The over/under line entering this matchup was 223 points, and both teams achieved a total score that exceeded that line.

As they prepare to face the Bucks, the Pelicans have an overall record of 44-28 and are above .500. When playing on the road, the Pelicans are 24-14 this season, compared to 20-14 at home.

In terms of the spread, New Orleans currently holds an ATS record of 39-32, which is above .500. On the road, the Pelicans have an ATS record of 20-17 compared to a 19-15 record vs. the spread at home.

Bucks Offense Breakdown

Today, the Bucks enter the game as one of the NBA’s top-scoring teams, averaging 120.6 points per game (3rd).

When it comes to scoring, the Bucks are one of the top teams in the league, averaging 120.6 points per game (3rd). On the road, they are averaging 118.2 points per game (4th).

So far this season, Milwaukee has outscored the NBA scoring average in 66.7% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 5th in the league at 100.5 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Bucks are 4th in made threes per game (14.4) and 6th in three-point attempts (38.2). Overall, they are 7th in three-point shooting percentage (37%).

Pelicans Offense Breakdown

new orleans pelicans

Through 72 games the Pelicans are averaging 115.7 points per contest, placing them 13th in the NBA.

Coming into tonight’s game, the Pelicans are 13th in the league in scoring at 115.7 points per game. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 116.5 points per game compared to 115.0 on the road.

So far this season, New Orleans has outscored the NBA scoring average in 51.4% of their games. They are also 8th in the league in field goal percentage at 48%.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Pelicans are 8th in three-point percentage at 38%. However, they are just 25th in three-point attempts per game.

Bucks Team Defense

So far, the Bucks’ defense is ranked 22nd in the league at 117.0 points per contest. In the terms of takeaways, Bucks are causing 12.2 turnovers per game, ranking 9th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 16th in rejections, averaging 5 blocked shots each game.

Pelicans Team Defense

In the current season, the Pelicans defense has excelled, sitting 8th in the NBA by allowing 110.5 points per game. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Pelicans squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 55.0% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 34.5% from downtown.

Key Players For The Bucks And Pelicans

The outlook for today’s matchup points to Giannis Antetokounmpo as the primary point contributor for the Bucks, finishing with 31 points while maintaining a 12/19 shooting accuracy. For the season, he has been averaging 30.6 points per game, in addition to 11.4 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Zion Williamson to be the top scorer for the Pelicans. Our projection has him finishing the game with 23, and he is expected to secure 6 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 58.6% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 22.7 points per game.

Bucks vs Pelicans Trends

  • In their last five games away from home, the Bucks have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 109 points per game in this stretch.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, New Orleans has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 110 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Pelicans have a straight up record of 4-6. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
  • Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Bucks have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 1-2.

Bucks vs Pelicans Prediction

Not only do we have the Bucks winning this one by a score of 116-113, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Bucks at -2.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 223.5, and our model projects the Bucks and Pelicans to reach a combined total of 229 points. Our bet is on taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.