Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Prediction 3/1/2024

The Dallas Mavericks (34-25) travel to face off against the Boston Celtics (46-12) on Friday, March 1st. This game will be played at TD Garden in Boston and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Mavericks vs Celtics

dallas mavericks nba

The Mavericks Are Coming Off A Win

Luka Doncic scored 30 for Dallas against the Raptors which was the most on the team. His field goal percentage for the game was 54.2%. Kyrie Irving also contributed 29 points as the Mavericks won by a score of 136-125 vs. the Raptors.

As the Mavericks prepare to face the Celtics, they are focused on improving their above .500 record of 34-25. In the Western Conference, the Mavericks are currently 7th overall and hold the 2nd spot in the Southwest division.

Dallas is currently performing above .500 against the spread with an ATS record of 32-27. As the favorite this season, Dallas is 21-13 vs. the spread while going 11-14 as the underdog.

The Celtics Are Coming Off A Win

The Celtics beat the 76ers in their most recent game, ending with a score of 117-99. Celtics’ victory in this game wasn’t just a straight-up win; they also covered the spread as -11.5-point favorites. In terms of the over/under, the combined 216 points was below the over/under line of 231.5.

With a 46-12 record, the Celtics are 1st in the Eastern Conference and 1st in the Atlantic division. They are looking to extend their nine-game winning streak in today’s matchup.

Against the spread, the Celtics have covered in four straight games and have an overall ATS record of 27-28. With a four game ATS win streak as favorites, the Celtics are 2-1 against the spread when they are underdogs.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

Coming into today’s action, Dallas is averaging 118.9 points per contest. This figure places them 7th in the league.

So far this season, the Mavericks’ offense has been one of the most efficient in the league, ranking 7th in points per game at 118.9. However, when playing on the road, they are averaging 117.2 points per contest.

When it comes to three-point shooting, Dallas has been one of the most prolific teams in the NBA, ranking 3rd in made threes per game at 15.1. Overall, they are 11th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%.

On average, the Mavericks are attempting 99.8 field goals per game, which is 11th in the NBA. So far, they have been successful on 48% of their attempts, which is 13th in the league.

Celtics Offense Breakdown

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For the season, the Boston offense is the 5th ranked unit in the NBA, at 120.7 points per contest.

So far this season, the Celtics have been an excellent three-point shooting team, leading the league in both three-point attempts and makes. They are hitting 38% of their shots from deep, which is 4th in the NBA. At home, they are averaging 122.4 points per game compared to their season average of 120.7 (5th).

Overall, the Celtics are 10th in the NBA in field goal percentage at 48%. They have been an efficient team, ranking 3rd in true shooting percentage. When it comes to pace, Boston is 18th in the league at 98.1 possessions per game.

Coming into this game, the Celtics are 15th in the NBA in free throw attempts (21.7 per game). In terms of offensive rebounds, they are 15th in the league. They are also 19th in assists, averaging 26.2 per game.

Mavericks Team Defense

At present, the Mavericks’ defense is ranked 21st, allowing 117.6 points per game. The Dallas defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.8% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 48.4% of their field goal attempts vs. Dallas.

Celtics Team Defense

The Celtics’ defense is presently ranked 7th in the league, allowing an average of 110.2 points per contest. On two point field goal attempts, the Celtics’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 51.5% and allowing 34.8% from beyond the arc.

Key Players For The Mavericks And Celtics

In today’s game, we anticipate Luka Doncic leading the scoring for the Mavericks, contributing 33 points while shooting 11/23 from the field. This season, he is averaging 34.4 points per game along with 8.8 boards.

As for Boston, Jayson Tatum is projected to be the primary scorer for the Celtics. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 26, and adding 9 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 47.5%, and he is contributing 27 points per game on average.

Mavericks vs Celtics Trends

  • Across their last three road contests, Dallas has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2, while averaging 122 points per game.
  • Across their last three home contests, Boston has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-0-1. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 121 points per game.
  • As the betting underdog, the Mavericks have an ATS mark of just 4-6 in their last ten games. Dallas posted a straight up mark of 3-7 in these matchups.
  • Through their last three games as the favorite, the Celtics have an ATS record of 3-0 and a straight up mark of 3-0.

Mavericks vs Celtics Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +9.5, we recommend going with the Mavericks on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 236.5 and our model has the Mavericks and Celtics finishing with a combined 303 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.