Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction 3/31/2024

The Dallas Mavericks (44-29) travel to face off against the Houston Rockets (38-35) on Sunday, March 31st. This game will be played at Toyota Center in Houston and televised on Spac. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Mavericks vs Rockets

dallas mavericks nba

The Mavericks Are Coming Off A Win

In their most recent game, the Mavericks took down the Kings by a score of 107-103. Mavericks’ victory in this game wasn’t just a straight-up win; they also covered the spread as -1-point favorites. When it comes to the over/under, the total of 210 points ended up falling short of the over/under line set at 232.5.

As we head into today’s game, the Mavericks have a 44-29 record and have won six straight games. In their 73 games, the Mavericks have gone 28-19 against Western Conference opponents and are 16-10 in non-conference matchups.

Against the spread, the Mavericks have covered in four straight games and have an overall ATS record of 42-31. On the road, the Mavericks have an ATS record of 24-12, as opposed to a 18-19 record against the spread when playing at home.

The Rockets Are Coming Off A Win

The Rockets’ most recent matchup against the Jazz saw Jalen Green lead the Rockets with 34 points while shooting 11/24 from the field. As the Rockets secured the victory with a final score of 101-100, Fred VanVleet also chipped in with 22 points.

With their 11 game winning streak, the Rockets have an overall record of 38-35. Among Western Conference teams, they are currently 11th and are 3rd in the Southwest division.

In terms of the spread, Houston currently holds an ATS record of 42-30, which is above .500. This season, Houston has a 19-9 record against the spread when they are the favorites, and they are 23-21 as underdogs.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

Today, the Mavericks enter the game as one of the NBA’s top-scoring teams, averaging 118.6 points per game (6th).

When it comes to scoring, the Mavericks are one of the best three-point shooting teams in the league. They are currently 3rd in the NBA in three-point makes per game at 14.6. Overall, they are 6th in the league in scoring at 118.6 points per game.

So far this season, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 60.3% of their games. On the road, they are averaging 117.9 points per game compared to 119.3 at home.

When it comes to pace, Dallas is 12th in the league at 99.5 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, the Mavericks are shooting 48% from the field, which is 11th in the NBA.

Rockets Offense Breakdown

houston rockets

In 73 games games, Houston has an average of 114.3 points per game (15th).

At home, the Rockets are averaging 116.7 points per game, which is 13th in the NBA. Overall, they are 15th in scoring at 114.3 points per game. In terms of pace, Houston is 13th in the league at 99.3 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Rockets are 16th in made threes per game (12.5) and 23rd in three-point shooting percentage (35%). From two-point range, Houston is 24th in shooting percentage (52%) and 18th in made field goals.

On the offensive glass, the Rockets are 6th in the NBA with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game. In terms of assists, Houston is 25th in the league with 24.7 assists per game.

Mavericks Team Defense

The Mavericks’ defense is presently ranked 20th in the league, allowing an average of 116.4 points per contest. Inside the arc, the Mavericks defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.0% and 36.7% from three-point territory.

Rockets Team Defense

So far, the Rockets defense is giving up 112.4 points per contest, which has them sitting 10th in the NBA. One thing to note, is they have given up more points than their season average in two straight matchups. In the terms of takeaways, Rockets are causing 12.3 turnovers per game, ranking 11th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 24th in rejections, averaging 4.6 blocked shots each game.

Key Players For The Mavericks And Rockets

Our game forecasts for today suggest that Luka Doncic is set to be the main scorer for the Mavericks, recording 34 points and shooting 12/24 from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 33.8 points per game, in addition to 9.1 rebounds.

On the flip side, our predictions place Jalen Green as the leading scorer for the Rockets. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 20 while also collecting 5 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 42.8%, and his scoring average is 20 points per game.

Mavericks vs Rockets Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Dallas has an ATS mark of 8-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 7-3 while averaging 122 points per game.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Houston has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 117 per game. The team went 5-0 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Rockets have a straight up record of 5-5. But, their mark vs the spread was just 7-3.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 8-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 7-3.

Mavericks vs Rockets Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Mavericks, with a final score of 113-109, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Mavericks at -2.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 230, and our model projects the Mavericks and Rockets to reach a combined total of 222 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.