Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Prediction 4/10/2024

The Dallas Mavericks (49-30) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (44-35) on Wednesday, April 10th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Mavericks vs Heat

dallas mavericks nba

The Mavericks Are Coming Off A Win

In their last game, the Mavericks defeated the Hornets with a final score of 130-104. Going into the second half the Mavericks held the lead at 69-47.

In their last ten games, the Mavericks are 9-1 and come into today’s game vs. the Heat with an overall record of 49-30. On the road this season, the Mavericks are 24-15 compared to 25-15 at home.

Against the spread, Dallas are currently above .500, at 47-32 ATS. This season, Dallas has a 32-17 record against the spread when they are the favorites, and they are 15-15 as underdogs.

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

The Heat’s most recent game versus the Hawks saw Tyler Herro lead the Heat with 33 points while shooting 13/25 from the field. As the Heat secured the victory with a final score of 117-111, Jimmy Butler also chipped in with 25 points.

Coming into today’s game vs. the Mavericks, the Heat are looking to stay above .500. So far, the Heat have a 44-35 record, with a 24-17 record on the road and a 20-18 record at home.

Miami comes in with an overall ATS record of 39-37 so far this season. In their last five road games, Miami has successfully covered the spread, and they hold an ATS record of 24-14 on the road in contrast to 15-23 at home.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

Heading into play, the Mavericks’ offense is rated 5th in the league in scoring, averaging 118.7 points per contest.

Heading into tonight’s game against the Miami Heat, the Dallas Mavericks are one of the league’s top offensive teams, averaging 118.7 points per game (5th). On the road, they have scored 118.0 points per game (4th).

So far this season, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 59.5% of their games. In terms of pace, Dallas is 7th in the league at 99.7 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Mavericks are one of the league’s best. They are 3rd in made threes per game (14.8) and 2nd in three-point attempts (39.6). Overall, Dallas is shooting 37% from beyond the arc.

Heat Offense Breakdown

miami heat

This season, the Miami offense is ranked 27th in the NBA in scoring at 110.1 points per game.

At home, the Heat are averaging 112.2 points per game, which is 23rd in the league. Overall, they are 27th in scoring at 110.1 points per game. In terms of pace, Miami is 29th in the NBA.

So far this season, the Heat have outscored the NBA scoring average in 39.2% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, Miami is 23rd in the league at 46%. From three-point range, they are 13th in the NBA at 37%.

When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Heat are 13th in attempts per game. In terms of assists, Miami is 20th in the league. In terms of offensive rebounds, they are 27th in the NBA.

Mavericks Team Defense

So far, the Mavericks’ defense is ranked 20th in the league at 115.8 points per contest. Opponents are hitting 54.5% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.7% of their three-point attempts.

Heat Team Defense

At this time, the Heat’s defense is positioned 4th in the NBA, permitting 108.5 points per game. On two point field goal attempts, the Heat’s defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 55.2% and allowing 35.5% from beyond the arc.

Key Players For The Mavericks And Heat

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Luka Doncic will be the primary scorer for the Mavericks, with 34 points and going 12/24 from the field. This season, he is averaging 33.9 points per game along with 9.2 boards.

As for Miami, Jimmy Butler is projected to be the primary scorer for the Heat. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 21, and adding 5 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 49.4%, and he is contributing 21.1 points per game on average.

Mavericks vs Heat Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Dallas has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 118 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Heat have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 7-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 108 points per game in this stretch.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Miami has an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 3-7 straight up.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 9-1. Their record vs the spread in these games was 8-2.

Mavericks vs Heat Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Mavericks vs. Heat matchup, our bet is to grab the Heat at +6.5. Even though our projections have the Mavericks winning 117-114, we see the Heat as the play on the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 215 and our model has the Mavericks and Heat finishing with a combined 231 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.