Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction 4/12/2024

The Denver Nuggets (56-24) travel to face off against the San Antonio Spurs (20-60) on Friday, April 12th. This game will be played at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio and televised on BSSW. The Nuggets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Spurs are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Timberwolves. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Nuggets vs Spurs

denver nuggets nba

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win

Most recently, the Nuggets bested the Timberwolves with a score of 116-107. The Nuggets managed to secure te win, even though they were behind at halftime 52-49.

As the Nuggets prepare to face the Spurs, they are looking to improve on their 56-24 record, which has them above .500. At home, the Nuggets are 33-8 compared to a 23-16 record on the road this season.

Denver currently has an ATS record below .500, sitting at 37-41 at this point. The Nuggets are currently on a three game ATS win streak when they are the favorite, and they hold a 5-5 record against the spread as underdogs.

The Spurs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Spurs is coming off a loss to the Thunder in their latest game, ending with a score of 127-89. Alongside their straight-up loss, the Spurs couldn’t cover as +17 point underdogs. As for the over/under, the combined score of 216 points didn’t reach the over/under line of 231.

Even though they are +12.5 underdogs, the Spurs are looking to get a win against the Nuggets. In games against Western Conference teams, the Spurs are 13-37 and are 7-23 in non-conference play. Overall, the Spurs are 20-60 this season.

San Antonio comes in with an overall ATS record of 42-38 so far this season. San Antonio has gone 6-2 against the spread this season when they are the favorites, and they are 36-36 when playing as underdogs.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

This season, the Denver offense is ranked 14th in the NBA in scoring at 114.7 points per game.

Heading into their matchup against the Spurs, the Nuggets are ranked 14th in the league in scoring at 114.7 points per game. However, when playing on the road, they are averaging 110.6 points per game (22nd).

Denver’s offense is one of the most efficient in the NBA, as they are shooting 49% from the field (4th). They are also one of the top teams in two-point shooting at 56% (9th).

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Nuggets are last in the league in three-point attempts (30th) but are making 37% of their shots (10th).

Spurs Offense Breakdown

san antonio spurs

In 80 games games, San Antonio has an average of 111.8 points per game (23rd).

At home, the Spurs are averaging 113.8 points per game, which is 18th in the NBA. Overall, they are 23rd in scoring at 111.8 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, the Spurs are shooting 46% from the field, which is 25th in the league.

San Antonio is 2nd in the NBA in pace at 101.3 possessions per game. When it comes to three-point shooting, the Spurs are 29th in three-point shooting percentage at 34%. They are also 11th in three-point attempts.

So far this season, the Spurs have outscored the NBA scoring average in 43.8% of their games. In terms of free throw shooting, San Antonio is 27th in free throw attempts and 25th in made free throws.

Nuggets Team Defense

Currently, the Nuggets’ defense holds the 6th rank in the NBA, allowing 109.4 points per game. For the season, Denver is ranked 22nd in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 22.2 free-throws per game vs. the Nuggets and have an overall field goal percentage of 46.3%.

Spurs Team Defense

Coming into the game, the Spurs will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 118.9 points per game (25th). The San Antonio defense has allowed opponents to shoot 37.3% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 48.9% of their field goal attempts vs. San Antonio.

Key Players For The Nuggets And Spurs

The outlook for today’s matchup points to Nikola Jokic as the primary point contributor for the Nuggets, finishing with 27 points while maintaining a 11/18 shooting accuracy. For the season, he has been averaging 26.6 points per game, in addition to 12.4 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Victor Wembanyama to be the top scorer for the Spurs. Our projection has him finishing the game with 21, and he is expected to secure 11 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 46.5%, and his scoring average is 21.3 points per game.

Nuggets vs Spurs Trends

  • Across the Nuggets last three road games, the team averaged 108 points per game while allowing 102. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 2-1 straight-up.
  • Across their last three home contests, San Antonio has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 100 points per game.
  • The last three games that San Antonio was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • As the betting favorite, the Nuggets have an ATS record of 3-0 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.

Nuggets vs Spurs Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Nuggets vs. Spurs game, our recommendation is to take the Spurs at +12.5. Despite our model showing the Nuggets winning 112-108, we like Spurs as our point-spread pick.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 223.5 and given that our model is projecting 220 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.