NBA: Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards Prediction 1/21/2024

NBA: Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards Prediction 1/21/2024

The Denver Nuggets (29-14) travel to face off against the Washington Wizards (7-34) on Sunday, January 21st. This game will be played at Capital One Arena in Washington and televised on MNMT. The Nuggets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Wizards are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Celtics. Tip-off is set for 6:00 ET.

Nuggets vs Wizards

denver nuggets nba

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win

The Nuggets’ most recent game versus the Celtics saw Jamal Murray lead the Nuggets with 35 points while shooting 15/21 from the field. Nikola Jokic also added 34 points as the Nuggets won the game by a score of 102-100.

With their above .500 record of 29-14, the Nuggets are hoping to add to their win total today against the Wizards. So far this season, the Nuggets are 12-10 in away games compared to their 17-4 record at home.

Denver has an overall ATS record of 19-23 for the season so far. During this season, Denver has a 17-20 record against the spread as favorites and 2-3 as underdogs.

The Wizards Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In the game against the Spurs, Marvin Bagley III was the top scorer for Washington, recording 21 points. His field goal percentage for the game was 47.6%. Deni Avdija added 16 points, but unfortunately, Washington was defeated in the game with a score of 131-127.

With a record of 7-34, the Wizards are 14th in the Eastern Conference and 5th in the Southeast division. In their last ten games, they are 1-9 and are set to face the Nuggets.

So far, Washington is below .500 in their ATS record, currently standing at 19-22. Washington has not been good vs. the spread in their last two home games, and they are 5-13 ATS at home compared to 14-9 on the road.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

Denver has recorded an average of 116 points per game (14th) throughout 43 games games.

When it comes to scoring, the Nuggets are 14th in the league at 116 points per game. However, they have been better at home, averaging 120.6 points compared to 111.6 on the road (8th at home, 21st on the road).

Denver has been one of the most efficient teams inside the arc, ranking 2nd in two-point field goals made and 4th in two-point shooting percentage (56%). However, they are just 25th in three-pointers made and 28th in three-point attempts.

Overall, the Nuggets are 3rd in field goal percentage and 8th in true shooting percentage. In terms of pace, Denver is last in the league at 96.3 possessions per game.

Wizards Offense Breakdown

washington wizards

The Wizards come into today’s game as the 15th ranked scoring offense at 115.7 points per game.

At 115.7 points per game, the Wizards are 15th in scoring. They have been even better at home, where they are averaging 117.2 points per game.

Washington leads the league in pace at 102.6 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, the Wizards are 11th at 47%. However, they have struggled from three-point range, shooting just 35% (21st).

So far, the Wizards have outscored the NBA scoring average in 56.1% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 9th in the league at 27.7 per game.

Nuggets Team Defense

So far this season, the Nuggets defense has been performing well, ranking 6th in the NBA at 111.1 points allowed per contest. The Denver defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.3% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 46.7% of their field goal attempts vs. Denver.

Wizards Team Defense

Currently, the Wizards’ defense holds the 30th rank in the NBA, allowing 125.2 points per game. Opponents are hitting 57.2% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 37.8% of their three-point attempts.

Key Players For The Nuggets And Wizards

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Nikola Jokic will be the primary scorer for the Nuggets, with 25 points and going 9/16 from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 25.7 points per game, in addition to 11.9 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Kyle Kuzma to be the top scorer for the Wizards. Our projection has him finishing the game with 20, and he is expected to secure 6 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 45.4%, and his scoring average is 21.9 points per game.

Nuggets vs Wizards Trends

  • Through their last five road games, Denver has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 3-2 while averaging 113 points per game.
  • Washington has a 1-4 record in their last five home games. In this stretch, they averaged 106 points per game while allowing 115. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • The last ten games that Washington was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 2-8 straight up.
  • In their last five contests as the favorite, Denver has a poor record vs the spread going 2-3. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 3-2.

Nuggets vs Wizards Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Nuggets vs. Wizards game, we suggest taking the Wizards at +13.5. Even though our predictions have the Nuggets winning 119-109, we see the Wizards as the better choice on the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 238, and our model predicts the Nuggets and Wizards to score a combined 228 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.