Warriors vs Nuggets betting prediction

NBA: Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 12/25/2023

The Golden State Warriors (15-14) travel to face off against the Denver Nuggets (21-10) on Monday, December 25th. This game will be played at Ball Arena. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 2:30 ET.

Warriors vs Nuggets

The Warriors Are Coming Off A Wingolden state warriors nba

Klay Thompson led Golden State with 28 points against the Trail Blazers, the highest on the team. He finished with a field goal percentage of 57.8% in the game. Stephen Curry also contributed 27 points as the Warriors won by a score of 126-106 vs. the Trail Blazers.

With a 15-14 record, the Warriors are looking to avoid falling to .500 with a win today. In the Western Conference, the Warriors are in 10th place and are currently 4th in the Pacific division.

The Warriors are riding a three game ATS win streak and currently possess an overall ATS record of 13-15. This season, Golden State has a 6-11 record against the spread when they are the favorites, and they are 7-4 as underdogs.

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Windenver nuggets nba

The Nuggets notched a win against the Hornets in their most recent game, concluding with a score of 102-95. Leading up the game, the Nuggets had a -11-point advantage on the spread but their 7 point win didn’t cover the spread. When it comes to the over/under, the total of 197 points ended up falling short of the over/under line set at 224.5.

In their last five games, the Nuggets are 4-1, giving them an overall record of 21-10. Currently, the Nuggets are 2nd in the Western Conference and 2nd in the Northwest division.

So far, Denver is below .500 in their ATS record, currently standing at 14-16. In their last two games as underdogs, the Nuggets have faced ATS losses, and they have a 13-14 record against the spread as favorites.

Warriors Offense Breakdown

The Warriors come into today’s game as one of the better scoring teams in the NBA at 117.2 points per game (9th). So far, Golden State is averaging 99.8 possessions per game, making them one of the more up-tempo teams in the league. So far, the team has been able to rank well on offense, even though their up-tempo style of play has not translated into inside scoring. Currently, Golden State is just 29th in 2-point field goal makes per game.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

Denver has recorded an average of 115 points per game (14th) throughout 31 games games. When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Nuggets are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 96.5 per contest. Even though the Nuggets are one of the more efficient 3-point shooting teams in the NBA at 37%, their slower-style of play may be holding back the team’s offense from fully taking off.

Warriors Team Defense

The Warriors’ defense is presently ranked 20 in the league, allowing an average of 115.8 points per contest.

On two point field goal attempts, the Warriors’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 53.8% and allowing 34.9% from beyond the arc.

Nuggets Team Defense

For the season, Denver is sitting 4 in terms of points allowed per game (110.0). It is worth noting they have given up a fewer number of points in two straight games.

The Nuggets defense is coming off a game in which they held the Hornets offense to just 43.3% shooting. Overall, they gave up 95 points to Charlotte.

Key Players For The Warriors And Nuggets

Our game forecasts for today suggest that Stephen Curry is set to be the main scorer for the Warriors, recording 19 points and shooting 7/14 from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 28.3 points per game, in addition to 4.6 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Nikola Jokic to be the top scorer for the Nuggets. Our projection has him finishing the game with 16, and he is expected to secure 7 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 54.5% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 26.4 points per game.

Warriors vs Nuggets Trends

  • Although Golden State has a straight up record of 1-2 in their last three road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 0-3. The team averaged 115 points per game in these games.
  • In their last three home games, Denver has averaged 112 points per game while allowing 105. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last three games as the betting underdog, the Warriors have a strong record vs the spread going 2-1. Their straight up mark in these contests is 1-2.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have gone 7-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 8-2.

Warriors vs Nuggets Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +7, the Warriors is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 233.5 and our model has the Warriors and Nuggets finishing with a combined 222 points. Our pick is to take the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.