heat vs cavaliers nba prediction

NBA: Heat vs Cavaliers Prediction 11/22/2023

The Miami Heat (9-5) travel to face off against the Cleveland Cavaliers (8-6) on Wednesday, November 22nd. This game will be played at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse and televised on BSOH. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Heat vs Cavaliers

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

The Heat’s most recent game versus the Bulls saw Bam Adebayo lead the Heat with 23 points while shooting 8/14 from the field. Duncan Robinson also contributed 22 points as the Heat won by a score of 118-100 vs. the Bulls.

Looking at the Heat’s previous ten games, they are 8-2 and face the Cavaliers with an overall mark of 9-5. At this time, the team’s rank is 4th in the Eastern Conference, and they are also 1st in the Southeast division.

So far, Miami’s ATS record is below .500 at 6-7. This season, Miami has a 4-5 record against the spread when they are favored, and they are 2-2 when playing as underdogs.

The Cavaliers Are Coming Off A Win

The Cavaliers clinched a 122-119 win over the 76ers in their previous game. Going into the second half the Cavaliers held the lead at 65-53.

Looking at the Cavaliers’ previous ten games, they are 4-6 and face the Heat with an overall mark of 8-6. The team is presently 7th in the Eastern Conference and 3rd in the Central division.

So far, Cleveland’s ATS record is below .500 at 6-8. On the road, the Cavaliers have an ATS record of 4-4 compared to a 2-4 record vs. the spread at home.

Heat Offense Breakdown

Through 14 games games, Miami is averaging 110.2 points per game (24th). Coming into today’s game, the Heat will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 12.4 made 3’s per game. If the Miami offense is going to improve, they must continue to do a good job avoiding turnovers. Currently, the unit is 8th in fewest turnovers per game.

Cavaliers Offense Breakdown

The Cavaliers come into today’s game as the 20th ranked scoring offense at 111.9 points per game. Coming into today’s game, the Cavaliers will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 11.1 made 3’s per game. If Cleveland continues to struggle with their outside shot, they may look to start playing with more pace, as they are currently 22nd in the league in possessions per game.

Heat Team Defense

The Heat’s defense is presently ranked 7th in the league, allowing an average of 108.9 points per contest.

Opponents are hitting 53.9% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 37.7% of their three-point attempts.

Cavaliers Team Defense

Currently, the Cavaliers’ defense holds the 11th rank in the NBA, allowing 111.6 points per game.

In the terms of takeaways, Cavaliers are causing 13.5 turnovers per game, ranking 12th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 14th in rejections, averaging 5.4 blocked shots each game.

Key Players For The Heat And Cavaliersmiami heatcleveland cavaliers

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Bam Adebayo will be the primary scorer for the Heat, with 18 points and going 7/11 from the field. Throughout this season, his average stands at 22.8 points per game, along with 10.2 rebounds.

On the other side, Darius Garland is our projected leading scorer for the Cavaliers. We have him ending the game with a team-high 21 and grabbing 2 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 47.1%, and his scoring average is 21 points per game.

Heat vs Cavaliers Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 3-1-1 while averaging 112 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • In their last three home games, Cleveland has averaged 117 points per game while allowing 115. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Cavaliers have a straight up record of 5-5. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Heat have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.

Heat vs Cavaliers Prediction

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Heat to secure the win, with an expected final score of 116-111. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -2.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 213 and our model has the Heat and Cavaliers finishing with a combined 227 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.