Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 4/7/2024

The Houston Rockets (38-39) travel to face off against the Dallas Mavericks (47-30) on Sunday, April 7th. This game will be played at American Airlines Center in Dallas and televised on NBA. The Mavericks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rockets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Warriors. Tip-off is set for 3:30 ET.

Rockets vs Mavericks

houston rockets nba

The Rockets Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their latest game against the Heat, Jalen Green was the top scorer for the Rockets’ offense, scoring 21 points and shooting 6/18 from the field. While Dillon Brooks was 2nd on the team with 18 points, Houston fell short in the game with a final score of 119-104.

By defeating the Mavericks, the Rockets will get their overall record back to .500, which is 38-39 for the season. So far, the Rockets are 12-25 on the road compared to 26-14 at home.

Houston has an ATS record of 43-33 for this season, which includes their current two game losing streak against the spread. On the road, the Rockets have an ATS record of 16-20 compared to a 27-13 record vs. the spread at home.

The Mavericks Are Coming Off A Win

In their latest game against the Warriors, P.J. Washington was the top scorer for the Mavericks’ offense, scoring 32 points and shooting 12/18 from the field. Kyrie Irving also contributed 26 points as the Mavericks won by a score of 108-106 vs. the Warriors.

As of today, the Mavericks have a 47-30 record and have gone 2-1 in their last three games. In the Western Conference, the Mavericks are 5th overall and are in 1st place in the Southwest division.

Currently, Dallas holds an above .500 ATS record of 45-32 so far this year. On the road, the Mavericks have an ATS record of 25-13, as opposed to a 20-19 record against the spread when playing at home.

Rockets Offense Breakdown

This season, the Houston offense is ranked 16th in the NBA in scoring at 113.9 points per game.

Heading into their game against the Mavericks, the Rockets are 16th in the league in scoring at 113.9 points per game. However, they have been better offensively at home compared to on the road, averaging 116.0 points at home compared to 111.6 on the road.

When it comes to pace, Houston is 14th in the league at 99.1 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 28th at 45%. This season, the Rockets have made 52% of their two-point attempts, which is 25th in the NBA.

From beyond the arc, Houston is 17th in made three-pointers per game at 12.6. However, they are just 23rd in three-point shooting percentage at 35%. Overall, the Rockets are 9th in free throws made per game and 6th in free throw attempts.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

dallas mavericks

Today, the Mavericks enter the game as one of the NBA’s top-scoring teams, averaging 118.2 points per game (6th).

As a team, the Mavericks are 6th in the NBA in scoring at 118.2 points per game. At home, they are averaging 118.7 points per game this season (8th).

When it comes to three-point shooting, Dallas is 2nd in both three-point makes per game (14.7) and attempts (39.5). Overall, they are shooting 37% from beyond the arc (12th).

So far this season, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA average in 58.4% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 10th in the league at 99.5 possessions per game.

Rockets Team Defense

On defense, the Rockets come into the game ranked 12th in the league in points allowed at 112.9 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 121.7 points per contest (11th). The Houston defense has allowed opponents to shoot 34.8% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 46.4% of their field goal attempts vs. Houston.

Mavericks Team Defense

At present, the Mavericks’ defense is ranked 20th, allowing 115.7 points per game. The Dallas defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.7% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 47.6% of their field goal attempts vs. Dallas.

Key Players For The Rockets And Mavericks

For today’s matchup, we project Jalen Green to lead the scoring for the Rockets, putting up 20 points and shooting at a rate of 7/17. This season, he is averaging 19.9 points per game along with 5.1 boards.

On the other side, Luka Doncic is our projected leading scorer for the Mavericks. We have him ending the game with a team-high 34 and grabbing 9 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 48.6%, and he is contributing 33.8 points per game on average.

Rockets vs Mavericks Trends

  • In their last three road games, Houston has averaged 113 points per game while allowing 113. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 7-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 119 points per game in this stretch.
  • As the betting underdog, the Rockets have an ATS mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. Houston posted a straight up mark of 4-6 in these matchups.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Mavericks have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.

Rockets vs Mavericks Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Mavericks vs. Rockets game, we suggest taking the Rockets at +6.5. Even though our predictions have the Mavericks winning 114-110, we see the Rockets as the better choice on the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 226.5, and our model projects the Rockets and Mavericks to reach a combined total of 224 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.