rockets sv mavericks nba prediction

NBA Houston vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 11/28/2023

The Houston Rockets (8-6) travel to face off against the Dallas Mavericks (10-6) on Tuesday, November 28th. This game will be played at American Airlines Center in American Airlines Center and televised on BSSW. The Rockets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mavericks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nuggets. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.

Rockets vs Mavericks

The Rockets Are Coming Off A Win

The Rockets notched a win against the Nuggets in their most recent game, concluding with a score of 105-86. At the beginning of the second half, the Rockets were leading 60-43.

The Rockets will face the Mavericks bringing in an overall record of 8-6 and a 2-1 record over their previous three games. The team is presently 7th in the Western Conference and 2nd in the Southwest division.

Against the spread, Houston are currently above .500, at 11-3 ATS. With a three game ATS win streak as favorites, the Rockets are 8-3 against the spread when they are underdogs.

The Mavericks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Mavericks is coming off a loss to the Clippers in their latest game, ending with a score of 107-88. The Mavericks managed to secure te win, even though they were behind at halftime 56-45.

The Mavericks head into today’s action with an overall record of 10-6 and have gone 1-2 over their previous three games. Away from home, the Mavericks have a 6-4 record this season, while maintaining a 4-2 record in their home games.

Dallas has an overall ATS record of 8-8 for the season so far. The Mavericks have suffered three consecutive ATS losses when playing as underdogs, and they are 7-5 against the spread when they are the favorites.

Rockets Offense Breakdown

In 14 games games, Houston has an average of 109.6 points per game (26th). When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Rockets are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 96.7 per contest. Their slower style of play has created fewer offensive opportunities, leading to them being ranked 22nd in fields goals made per contest.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

For the season, the Dallas offense is the 6th ranked unit in the NBA, at 119.4 points per contest. In terms of pace, the Mavericks are one of the top units in the NBA, averaging 100.1 possessions per game. Thus far, the team’s faced paced style of play has helped their overall numbers, as they are currently the 8th team in made field goals per contest.

Rockets Team Defense

Coming into the game, the Rockets’ defense has finished two straight games with an increased number of points allowed. Overall, they are 1st in the league at 104.4 points per game allowed.

Houston’s defense is currently forcing 12.3 turnovers per game, which is 5th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 27th in blocked shots, with an average of 4 rejections per game.

Mavericks Team Defense

On average, the Dallas defense is giving up 118.3 points per game (24th). Right now, they are on a 3 game streak of giving up fewer points than their season average.

Inside the arc, the Mavericks defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 57.1% and 35.9% from three-point territory.

Key Players For The Rockets And Mavericks

In today’s game, our projections have Alperen Sengün leading the Rockets with 17 points on 7/12 shooting from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 20.2 points per game, in addition to 9.1 rebounds.

On the flip side, our predictions place Luka Doncic as the leading scorer for the Mavericks. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 19 while also collecting 5 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 48.7% and is averaging 30.5 points per contest.

Rockets vs Mavericks Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Houston has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 106 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Dallas has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 117 points per game.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Rockets have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 3-0.
  • The last ten games that Dallas was favored, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 7-3 straight up.

Rockets vs Mavericks Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Mavericks, with a final score of 118-106, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Mavericks at -5.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 231.5, and our model predicts the Rockets and Mavericks to score a combined 224 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.