Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction 4/30/2024

The Indiana Pacers (47-35) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Bucks (49-33) on Tuesday, April 30th. This game will be played at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee and televised on TNT. The Pacers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Bucks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Bucks. Tip-off is set for 9:30 ET.

Pacers vs Bucks

indiana pacers nba

The Pacers took down the Bucks in the most recent game of this series, winning by a score of 126-113. Indiana was favored by 10 points heading into the game, and they easily covered the spread. The over/under line for the game was 214.5 points, and the teams combined to score 239 points.

Indiana’s defense was at its best in the 3rd quarter, holding the Bucks to just 21 points. Myles Turner was the game’s leading scorer with 29 points, and he also had nine rebounds. He hit seven threes on 77.8% shooting from beyond the arc. Brook Lopez led the Bucks with 27 points.

Pacers Offense Breakdown

Across their last five games, the Pacers have been getting some good production from Pascal Siakam, who is averaging 26.2 points per game on a field goal percentage of 58.8%. Myles Turner is averaging 25.6 points per game in his last five games while also hitting 52.6% of his threes. Indiana’s offense is the top-scoring team in the league this year, at 123.3 points per game.

Indiana’s offense has been especially good on the road this year, averaging 120.5 points per game. For the season, they have outscored the league average in 75.6% of their games. The Pacers are also the league leaders in overall field goal percentage and two-point field goal percentage.

Bucks Offense Breakdown

milwaukee bucks

Milwaukee comes into the game as the 4th best scoring team in the league, at 119 points per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 120.6 points per contest on their home floor. The Bucks’ scoring offense has come while playing at the 6th highest pace in the league. In terms of three-point shooting, the Bucks are 5th in both three-point makes and attempts. Their three-point shooting percentage is 7th best in the NBA.

Khris Middleton has averaged 24.4 points per game in his last five games, hitting 48.9% of his shots from the field. Over this stretch, he is also averaging 7.6 rebounds and 5 assists. Brook Lopez is averaging 17 points per game in his last five games on a field goal percentage of 58.1%. Giannis Antetokounmpo is doubtful for the game with a calf injury. He is averaging 30.4 points and 11.5 rebounds for the season. Damian Lillard is also doubtful for the Blazers, averaging 24.3 points and 7 assists.

Pacers Team Defense

When it comes to scoring, the Pacers’ defense has struggled this season, as they have given up 119.9 points per game, which is 27th in the NBA. On the road, they have been even worse, allowing 121.2 points per game, which is 28th in the league.

Despite their struggles, the Pacers have done a good job of defending the three-point line this season, allowing opponents to shoot just 36.5% from beyond the arc, which is 1st in the NBA. In terms of steals, Indiana is right in the middle of the pack, as they are 14th in the league at 7.7 steals per game.

One area where the Pacers have struggled this season is on the glass, as they are 28th in rebounds per game and 28th in defensive rebounds per game. When it comes to blocking shots, Indiana has been solid, ranking 8th in the league at 5.9 blocks per game.

Bucks Team Defense

So far this season, the Milwaukee Bucks’ defense has been middle of the pack, coming in at 21st in the NBA in points allowed per game at 116.4. When playing at home, they have been slightly better, giving up 114.6 points per contest, which is 19th in the league.

One area where the Bucks have struggled is in terms of steals, as they are 28th in the NBA at 6.8 per game. However, they have been solid on the boards, ranking 9th in rebounds per contest and 2nd in defensive rebounds.

When it comes to defending the three-point line, Milwaukee is 13th in three-point percentage allowed at 35.5%. In terms of blocked shots, they are 17th in the league at 5 per contest.

Key Players For The Pacers And Bucks

In today’s game, our projections have Pascal Siakam leading the Pacers with 21 points on 8/16 shooting from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 21.7 points per game, in addition to 7.1 rebounds.

As for Milwaukee, Giannis Antetokounmpo is projected to be the primary scorer for the Bucks. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 31, and adding 12 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 61.1% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 30.4 points per game.

Pacers vs Bucks Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Pacers have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 5-5 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 121 points per game in these contests.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Milwaukee has an ATS mark of 4-6. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-8 while averaging 109 points per game.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Bucks have a straight up record of 3-7. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.
  • Across their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Pacers have an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-2 against the spread.

Pacers vs Bucks Prediction

The Bucks come in as the underdog at +4, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 214.5 and our model has the Pacers and Bucks finishing with a combined 221 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.