Mavericks vs Los Angeles Clippers NBA Prediction

NBA Mavericks vs Los Angeles Clippers Prediction 5/1/2024

The Dallas Mavericks (50-32) travel to face off against the Los Angeles Clippers (51-31) on Wednesday, May 1st. This game will be played at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles and televised on TNT. The Clippers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mavericks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mavericks. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Mavericks vs Clippers

dallas mavericks nba

James Harden and Paul George both had 33 points in the most recent game of this Clippers vs. Mavericks series, and the Clippers walked away with a 116-111 win. The Clippers got off to a fast start, outscoring the Mavericks 39-16 in the first quarter. The Clippers were 7-point underdogs going into the game and easily covered the spread. The over/under line for the game was 209.5 points, and the teams combined for 17.5 more points than that.

As a team, the Clippers shot 62.1% from three-point range, hitting 18 threes. As for the Mavericks, they made just 11 threes on 33.3% shooting from beyond the arc. Kyrie Irving had a big game for the Mavericks, scoring 40 points on 56% shooting from the field. Luka Doncic added 29 points, 10 rebounds, and 10 assists.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

This season, Luka Doncic is averaging 29 points per game over his last four games. In these games, he averaged 9.8 rebounds and 8.5 assists. For the season, he is averaging 4.1 made threes per game, and over his last four games, he hit 3.2 threes per game. Kyrie Irving has also been playing well of late, averaging 28.8 points per game in his last four games. In these games, he shot 51.3% from the field and 48.5% from beyond the arc.

Dallas is one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league this season, averaging 14.6 made threes per game. They are also near the top of the league in three-point attempts, getting up 39.5 attempts per contest. Overall, the Mavericks are 15th in three-point shooting percentage. For the season, they are averaging 117.9 points per game.

Clippers Offense Breakdown

los angeles clippers

Overall, the Clippers are the 12th ranked scoring team this year, at 115.6 points per game. Their scoring average at home is 114.7 points per contest, which is 15th in the league. Despite playing at a slow pace, the Clippers have been a pretty efficient team, as they are 7th in field goal percentage and true shooting percentage.

James Harden has shot the ball well for the Clippers over his last four games, hitting 54.1% of his shots from the field and 50% of his threes. This has led to an average of 26 points per game. In this stretch, Paul George is averaging 21 points per game on 45.3% shooting and 3.5 made threes per game. Across the season, George is averaging 22.6 points per game.

Mavericks Team Defense

On the season, the Mavericks have been a middle-of-the-pack defense, ranking 18th in the league at 115.0 points per game allowed. In their last five games, they have been slightly better, ranking 15th at 108.6 points per game allowed. On the road, Dallas is giving up 115.5 points per contest, which is 16th in the NBA.

One area where the Mavericks have been solid defensively is in two-point shooting percentage allowed. They are 13th in the league at 54.2%. However, they have struggled to defend the three-point line, ranking 20th in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 37.0%.

For the season, opponents have scored more than their season average in 61.0% of games vs. Dallas. In terms of rebounds, the Mavericks are 19th in the league at 42.9 per game. They are also just 24th in steals per game and 15th in blocked shots per contest.

Clippers Team Defense

On the season, the Clippers are allowing 111.8 points per game, which is 11th in the NBA. At home, they have been slightly better, giving up 111.6 points per contest, which is 14th in the league.

In their last five games, the Clippers’ defense has been even better, allowing just 104.2 points per game, which is 7th in the NBA over that stretch. During this span, opposing teams have shot just 44.8% from the field and 32.1% from three-point range vs. Los Angeles.

On the year, opponents have made 12.8 three-pointers per game vs. the Clippers, which is 14th in the league. In terms of steals, Los Angeles is 9th in the NBA at 7.8 per contest.

Key Players For The Mavericks And Clippers

In today’s game, we anticipate Luka Doncic leading the scoring for the Mavericks, contributing 34 points while shooting 11/24 from the field. During this season, he is delivering an average of 33.9 points per game, along with 9.2 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Paul George to be the top scorer for the Clippers. Our projection has him finishing the game with 22, and he is expected to secure 5 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 47.1%, and his scoring average is 22.6 points per game.

Mavericks vs Clippers Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 7-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 109 points per game in this stretch.
  • Across their last three home contests, Los Angeles has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 103 points per game.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Los Angeles has an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight up.
  • The last ten games that Dallas was favored, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 6-4 straight up.

Mavericks vs Clippers Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +3, we have the Clippers as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 207.5 and given that our model is projecting 236 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.