Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 5/22/2024

The Dallas Mavericks (50-32) travel to face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves (56-26) on Wednesday, May 22nd. This game will be played at Target Center in Minneapolis and televised on TNT. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.

Mavericks vs Timberwolves

dallas mavericks nba

The Mavericks picked up a 117-116 win in their most recent game, closing out their series vs. the Thunder. Dallas won the series 4-2, and they picked up the win in game six on their home floor. The over/under line for the game was 208.5 points, and the teams combined for 233 points.

Offensively, the Mavericks hit 16 threes and shot 47.1% from beyond the arc. Luka Doncic finished with 29 points, 10 rebounds, and 10 assists, and he hit four threes. Derrick Jones Jr. also hit four threes and finished with 22 points.

Jaden McDaniels and Karl-Anthony Towns each scored 23 points for the Timberwolves in their 98-90 win over the Nuggets. The win clinched the series for Minnesota, as they took the series 4-3. McDaniels hit three threes and shot 75% from beyond the arc. As a team, the Timberwolves hit 10 threes and shot 29.4% from deep.

Anthony Edwards added 16 points for the Timberwolves, and he also had seven assists and eight rebounds. As a team, the Timberwolves shot 39.2% from the field. Defensively, they held the Nuggets to 39% shooting and 10 threes. Heading into the game, the over/under line was 201.5 points, and the teams combined for 188 points.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

Luka Doncic is averaging 25.8 points per game over his last five games while also averaging 8.6 assists and 11.4 rebounds. This season, he is averaging 33.9 points, 9.8 assists, and 9.2 rebounds. Kyrie Irving is averaging 25.6 points per game for the season and has a three-point shooting percentage of 41.1%.

Dallas is averaging 117.9 points per game this season, which is 8th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 117.2 points per game compared to 115.6 on the road. The Mavericks are 4th in three-pointers made per game at 14.6.

Timberwolves Offense Breakdown

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Minnesota comes into the game as the NBA’s 18th-ranked scoring team, at 113 points per game. Their scoring average is even lower at home, as they have put up 111.5 points per contest on their home court. Despite their below-average pace, the Timberwolves are among the league leaders in field goal percentage, true shooting percentage, and three-point shooting percentage.

Anthony Edwards is averaging 24.8 points per game over his last five games on a field goal percentage of 44.8%. For the season, he is averaging 25.9 points per game. Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 21.8 points and 8.3 rebounds for the season. Over his last five games, he hit 45.6% of his shots from the field and 41.6% of his threes.

Mavericks Team Defense

On the season, the Mavericks are giving up 114.1 points per game, which is 17th in the NBA. Over their last five games, they have been even better, ranking 4th in the league at 103.8 points per game allowed.

One area where the Mavericks have struggled this season is in steals, as they are 25th in the NBA at 6.9 steals per contest. In terms of blocked shots, Dallas is 14th in the league at 5 per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, opponents are hitting 36.5% of their attempts vs. the Mavericks, which is 16th in the league. In terms of three-point attempts allowed, Dallas is 14th at 35.3 per game.

Timberwolves Team Defense

When it comes to defense, the Minnesota Timberwolves are the best in the league, allowing just 105.7 points per game this season. At home, they have been even better, giving up just 103.1 points per game.

Over their last five games, the Timberwolves have been even stingier, allowing just 100.8 points per game.

One area where Minnesota has been particularly strong this season is defending the three-point line. On the year, they are third in the NBA in three-point percentage allowed at 35.7%.

In terms of rebounding, the Timberwolves are 14th in the league at 43.6 rebounds per game. They have also been a top-ten shot-blocking team, averaging 6.1 blocks per game.

Key Players For The Mavericks And Timberwolves

The outlook for today’s matchup points to Luka Doncic as the primary point contributor for the Mavericks, finishing with 33 points while maintaining a 11/24 shooting accuracy. During this season, he is delivering an average of 33.9 points per game, along with 9.2 rebounds.

On the flip side, our predictions place Anthony Edwards as the leading scorer for the Timberwolves. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 26 while also collecting 5 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 46.1%, and his scoring average is 25.9 points per game.

Mavericks vs Timberwolves Trends

  • In their last three road games, Dallas has averaged 106 points per game while allowing 106. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Timberwolves offense has averaged 108 points per game while allowing an average of 103. Minnesota posted an overall record of 7-3 while going 7-3 ATS.
  • Through their last five games as the underdog, the Mavericks have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 3-2.
  • Minnesota has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last five games.

Mavericks vs Timberwolves Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +4.5, the Mavericks is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 208 and given that our model is projecting 225 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.