Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 5/24/2024

The Dallas Mavericks (50-32) travel to face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves (56-26) on Friday, May 24th. This game will be played at Target Center in Minneapolis and televised on TNT. The Mavericks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Timberwolves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Timberwolves. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.

Mavericks vs Timberwolves

dallas mavericks nba

The Mavericks picked up a three-point win in the most recent game of this series, winning 108-105. Dallas was down by one heading into the 4th quarter and outscored the Timberwolves 26-22 in the final quarter. The Mavericks were 4.5-point underdogs heading into the game and covered the spread. The 213 combined points were 6.5 more than the over/under line of 206.5.

Luka Doncic led all scorers with 33 points and also had eight assists and six rebounds. The Mavericks made just six threes on 24% shooting from deep. Jaden McDaniels led the Timberwolves with 24 points and six threes, while Anthony Edwards had 19 points.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

Looking at Luka Doncic’s last five games, he has averaged 26.6 points, 8.8 assists, and 10.6 rebounds. In these games, he hit 37.5% of his threes and 46% of his shots from the field. The Mavericks are averaging 117.9 points per game this season, which is 9th in the league.

Dallas is 4th in three-point attempts this season, getting up 39.5 attempts per game. They have hit an average of 14.6 threes per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 48%, which is 11th in the league. P.J. Washington has hit 3.2 threes per game in his last five games, to go along with 16 points and 8 rebounds.

Timberwolves Offense Breakdown

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Minnesota comes into the game as the NBA’s 20th-ranked scoring offense, at 113 points per game. Their scoring average at home is 111.3 points per contest. The Timberwolves have been an efficient shooting team this season, as they are 9th in field goal percentage and 3rd in three-point shooting percentage.

Anthony Edwards has been carrying the Timberwolves offense of late, averaging 24.8 points per game over his last five games. In this stretch, he shot 42.3% from the field. Jaden McDaniels has hit 61.5% of his shots from the field in his last five games and averaged 17.6 points. Karl-Anthony Towns has hit just 21.4% of his threes in his last five games but still averaged 17 points and 10 rebounds.

Mavericks Team Defense

On the season, the Mavericks are 17th in points allowed per game at 114.0. When playing on the road, they are giving up 114.3 points per contest, which is 15th in the NBA.

Over their last five games, Dallas is 4th in points allowed at 102.8 points per game.

One area where the Mavericks have been solid all season is defending the three-point line. They are 16th in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 36.5%.

Overall, opposing teams have scored more than their season average 61.0% of the time vs. Dallas.

Timberwolves Team Defense

When it comes to defense, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been the best in the league this season, allowing just 105.7 points per game. They have been especially stingy at home, giving up just 103.2 points per game in their own building.

Overall, opponents have scored less than their season average in 84.1% of their games vs. the Timberwolves. From beyond the arc, Minnesota has done a great job at contesting shots, ranking 3rd in three-point percentage allowed (35.6%).

Over their last five games, the Timberwolves have been even better on defense, allowing just 99 points per game. During that stretch, opponents have made just 32% of their three-point attempts.

Key Players For The Mavericks And Timberwolves

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Luka Doncic will be the primary scorer for the Mavericks, with 33 points and going 11/24 from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 33.9 points per game, in addition to 9.2 rebounds.

On the other side, Anthony Edwards is our projected leading scorer for the Timberwolves. We have him ending the game with a team-high 26 and grabbing 6 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 46.1% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 25.9 points per game.

Mavericks vs Timberwolves Trends

  • The Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last road games and 4-1 straight-up.
  • Through their last ten home games, Minnesota has an ATS record of just 7-3. However, their overall record was 7-3 while averaging 108 points per game.
  • Through their last five games as the underdog, the Mavericks have an ATS record of 4-1 and a straight up mark of 4-1.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Timberwolves have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.

Mavericks vs Timberwolves Prediction

The Mavericks come in as the underdog at +5.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 207, and our model projects the Mavericks and Timberwolves to reach a combined total of 225 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.