Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 5/30/2024

The Dallas Mavericks (50-32) travel to face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves (56-26) on Thursday, May 30th. This game will be played at Target Center in Minneapolis and televised on TNT. The Timberwolves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mavericks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mavericks. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.

Mavericks vs Timberwolves

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Minnesota pulled off a 105-100 win over the Mavericks in the most recent game of this series. The Timberwolves were 1.5-point underdogs heading into the game, and their win gave them a cover. The game also fell 6.5 points short of the over/under line of 211.5 points.

Anthony Edwards had a big game for the Timberwolves, as he finished with 29 points, 9 assists, and 10 rebounds. Karl-Anthony Towns added 25 points and hit 80% of his threes. Luka Doncic had a big game for the Mavericks, finishing with 28 points, 10 assists, and 15 rebounds.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

Dallas comes into the game as the NBA’s 4th ranked team in three-point shooting percentage, at 36%. They are also 4th in both three-point attempts and makes this season. For the season, Luka Doncic is averaging 33.9 points, 9.2 rebounds, and 9.8 assists. Over his last five games, he is averaging 31 points per game on 45.7% shooting and 4.2 made threes per game.

The Mavericks are 9th in the league in scoring this season, at 117.9 points per contest. Looking at their pace, they are 14th in the league, averaging 99.6 possessions per game. Dallas has been below the league average in terms of scoring in 57.3% of their games this year.

Timberwolves Offense Breakdown

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Minnesota comes into the game as the NBA’s 21st-ranked scoring team, at 113 points per game. They are also 27th in pace, averaging just 97 possessions per contest. Despite their slow pace, the Timberwolves are 3rd in three-point shooting, at 38%. Overall, they are 9th in field goal percentage.

Anthony Edwards is averaging 22.2 points per game over his last five games, to go along with 8 assists and 8.6 rebounds. Jaden McDaniels has hit 57.4% of his shots in his last five games and averaged 14.8 points in that stretch. Karl-Anthony Towns has hit 41.6% of his threes this season, averaging 21.8 points per game. Rudy Gobert is averaging 14 points and 12.9 rebounds for the Jazz.

Mavericks Team Defense

On the season, the Mavericks are 17th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 113.7. In their last five games, Dallas has been even better, ranking 10th in the league at 108.2 points per game allowed. One area where they have been particularly good over the last five games is inside the arc, where they are 8th in two-point shooting percentage allowed.

Overall, opponents have made 36.6% of their threes against the Mavericks, which is 16th in the league. On the season, opposing teams have made more threes than their season average 64.6% of the time vs. Dallas.

On the glass, the Mavericks are 18th in rebounds per game and 15th in defensive rebounds per game. In terms of steals, Dallas is 25th in the NBA at 6.9 per contest. They are 13th in blocked shots and 20th in personal fouls.

Timberwolves Team Defense

When it comes to defense, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been the best in the league this season, allowing just 105.8 points per game. They have been especially stingy at home, giving up just 103.3 points per contest.

In terms of three-point defense, Minnesota has been one of the best in the league, allowing opponents to shoot just 35.8% from beyond the arc. For the season, opponents have made fewer threes than their season average 85.4% of the time vs. the Timberwolves.

Over their last five games, opposing offenses have shot just 34.4% from three-point range vs. Minnesota. During that stretch, they have also done a good job of keeping opponents off the free-throw line, allowing just 17.8 made free-throws per game.

Key Players For The Mavericks And Timberwolves

For today’s matchup, we project Luka Doncic to lead the scoring for the Mavericks, putting up 33 points and shooting at a rate of 11/24. For the season, he has been averaging 33.9 points per game, in addition to 9.2 rebounds.

As for Minnesota, Anthony Edwards is projected to be the primary scorer for the Timberwolves. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 26, and adding 6 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 46.1% and is averaging 25.9 points per contest.

Mavericks vs Timberwolves Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 7-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 104 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Timberwolves have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 7-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 110 points per game in this stretch.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Mavericks have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 4-1 in these scenarios.
  • Spanning across their last three games as the betting favorite, the Timberwolves have gone 1-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.

Mavericks vs Timberwolves Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Timberwolves vs. Mavericks matchup, our bet is to grab the Mavericks at +4.5. Even though our projections have the Timberwolves winning 107-106, we see the Mavericks as the play on the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 209.5 and our model has the Mavericks and Timberwolves finishing with a combined 213 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.