Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 3/14/2024

The Dallas Mavericks (38-28) travel to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (45-20) on Thursday, March 14th. This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and televised on TNT. The Mavericks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Thunder are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Warriors. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Mavericks vs Thunder

dallas mavericks nba

The Mavericks Are Coming Off A Win

Kyrie Irving led Dallas with 23 points against the Warriors, the highest on the team. He finished with a field goal percentage of 53.7% in the game. Luka Doncic also contributed 21 points as the Mavericks won by a score of 109-99 vs. the Warriors.

Coming into today’s game, the Mavericks are 38-28 overall and have won four straight. In the Western Conference, they are currently 8th and are 2nd in the Southwest division.

Against the spread, Dallas are currently above .500, at 36-30 ATS. The Mavericks maintain an ATS record of 20-11 on the road, while they have a 16-19 record vs. the spread when playing at home.

The Thunder Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 30 for Oklahoma City against the Pacers which was the most on the team. His field goal percentage for the game was 43.4%. Luguentz Dort put up 18 points which was 2nd on the team, but it wasn’t enough as Oklahoma City ended up losing the game with a final score of 121-111.

Over the Thunder’s last ten games, they have gone 7-3 and come into today’s game against the Mavericks with an overall record of 45-20. Currently, the Thunder are 2nd in the Western Conference and are also 2nd in the Northwest division.

Against the spread, Oklahoma City are currently above .500, at 40-25 ATS. During this season, Oklahoma City has a 29-20 record against the spread as favorites and 11-5 as underdogs.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

Leading up to today’s matchup, the Mavericks are one of the NBA’s top offenses, averaging 119 points per game (6th).

So far this season, the Mavericks have been one of the NBA’s top offenses, averaging 119 points per game (6th). When playing on the road, they have averaged 118.1 points per game (6th).

When it comes to pace, Dallas is 11th in the league at 99.7 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 12th overall at 48%.

One of the Mavericks’ strengths has been their three-point shooting. They are 3rd in the NBA in made threes per game (14.8) and 2nd in three-point attempts (39.8). Overall, they have hit 37% of their shots from beyond the arc (12th).

Thunder Offense Breakdown

oklahoma city thunder

The Thunder arrive for today’s game as one of the NBA’s top offensive teams, scoring an average of 120.7 points per game (3rd).

So far this season, the Thunder have been one of the NBA’s top offensive teams, averaging 120.7 points per game (3rd). At home, they are scoring 122.7 points per game (4th).

Oklahoma City has been an excellent three-point shooting team, leading the league in three-point shooting percentage at 39%. They are also 2nd in field goal percentage overall (49%).

When it comes to pace, the Thunder are 12th in the NBA at 99.6 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 12th with 26.9 per game.

Mavericks Team Defense

For the season, Dallas is sitting 22nd in terms of points allowed per game (117.5). It is worth noting they have given up a fewer number of points in three straight games. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Mavericks defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 55.5% while allowing 36.8% from downtown.

Thunder Team Defense

Coming into the game, the Thunder defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 44.6% of their games. Currently, they are 13th in the NBA at 113.0 points per game allowed. In the terms of takeaways, Thunder are causing 11.5 turnovers per game, ranking 2nd in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 1st in rejections, averaging 6.7 blocked shots each game.

Key Players For The Mavericks And Thunder

In today’s game, our projections have Luka Doncic leading the Mavericks with 34 points on 11/23 shooting from the field. Throughout this season, his average stands at 34.3 points per game, along with 9 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to be the top scorer for the Thunder. Our projection has him finishing the game with 31, and he is expected to secure 6 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 54.4%, and he is contributing 31.1 points per game on average.

Mavericks vs Thunder Trends

  • In their last five road games, Dallas has averaged 126 points per game while allowing 120 . The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last five home contests, the Thunder offense has averaged 118 points per game while allowing an average of 117. Oklahoma City posted an overall record of 3-2 while going 2-3 ATS.
  • The last five games that Dallas was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 1-4 straight up.
  • Against the spread, the Thunder have put together of 1-4 in their last five games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 3-2 straight up.

Mavericks vs Thunder Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +10, we recommend going with the Mavericks on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 237.5, and our model predicts the Mavericks and Thunder to score a combined 238 points. We recommend betting on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.