Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 5/7/2024

The Dallas Mavericks (50-32) travel to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (57-25) on Tuesday, May 7th. This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and televised on TNT. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 9:30 ET.

Mavericks vs Thunder

dallas mavericks nba

Kyrie Irving had a big game for the Mavericks, putting up 30 points and hitting five threes on 55.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Luka Doncic also had a strong game, finishing with 28 points and 13 assists. As a team, the Mavericks hit 12 threes and shot 48.2% from the field.

Defensively, the Mavericks held the Clippers to 101 points and 41% shooting from the field. They also held the Clippers to just 25% shooting from three-point range. With the win, the Mavericks closed out the series, taking it 4-2.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a double-double with 24 points and 10 rebounds, while also adding three assists. He shot 38.1% from the field. Jalen Williams also had 24 points, and he shot 52.9% from the field. As a team, the Thunder shot 42.7% from the field and 30% from three.

Defensively, the Thunder held the Pelicans to 89 points and 42% shooting from the field. Both teams hit 12 threes, and the Thunder held the Pelicans to 30% shooting from deep. The Thunder won the series 4-0 and closed it out with a 97-89 win.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

Looking at Luka Doncic’s last five games, he has averaged 29.2 points, 10.2 assists, and 8 rebounds. However, he has shot just 40.2% from the field and 21.8% from three. For the season, he is averaging 4.1 made threes per game and has hit 38.2% of his looks from beyond the arc. P.J. Washington is averaging 10.8 points and 5 rebounds in his last five games and 12.9 points and 5.6 rebounds for the season.

Dallas is averaging 117.9 points per game this season, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better on the road, at 116.2 points per game. The Mavericks are 3rd in three-point attempts and three-pointers made per game.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

oklahoma city thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 24.8 points per game over his last five games while hitting 47.4% of his shots from the field. This season, he is averaging 30.1 points per game to go along with 6.2 assists and 5.5 rebounds. Jalen Williams is averaging 19.1 points per game for the season and 18.8 points per game in his last five games. In these games, he shot 54.1% from the field and 40% from three.

For the season, the Thunder are averaging 120.1 points per game, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. Their home scoring average of 122.5 points per game is the 2nd best figure in the NBA. Oklahoma City is also the league-leader in three-point shooting percentage at 38%.

Mavericks Team Defense

On the season, the Mavericks are giving up 114.6 points per game, which is 18th in the NBA. In their last five games, they have been even better, allowing just 98.6 points per contest, which is 4th in the league over that span.

For the season, opposing teams have made 36.8% of their three-point attempts against Dallas, which is 18th in the NBA. In terms of steals, the Mavericks are 24th at 6.9 per game, while they are 15th in blocked shots at 5 per contest.

One area where the Mavericks have been solid is in terms of personal fouls, as they are 20th in the league in that category.

Thunder Team Defense

So far this season, the Thunder’s defense has been impressive. They are 10th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 111.6. In their last five games, they have been even better, allowing just 88.8 points per game.

Overall, Oklahoma City is 3rd in the NBA in field goal percentage allowed at 45.3%. They are also 2nd in two-point shooting percentage allowed at 51.9%. However, they have struggled to defend the three-point line, ranking 21st in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 35.9%.

One area where the Thunder’s defense has excelled this season is in steals and blocked shots. They are 1st in the league in both categories. In terms of fouls, they are right around the middle of the pack at 15th.

Key Players For The Mavericks And Thunder

The outlook for today’s matchup points to Luka Doncic as the primary point contributor for the Mavericks, finishing with 33 points while maintaining a 11/24 shooting accuracy. Throughout this season, his average stands at 33.9 points per game, along with 9.2 rebounds.

On the flip side, our predictions place Shai Gilgeous-Alexander as the leading scorer for the Thunder. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 30 while also collecting 5 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 53.5% and is averaging 30.1 points per contest.

Mavericks vs Thunder Trends

  • Through their last ten road contests, the Mavericks offense has averaged 110 points per game while allowing an average of 103. Dallas posted an overall record of 7-3 while going 7-3 ATS.
  • Across their five previous home games, Oklahoma City has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-2 while averaging 107 points per game.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Dallas has an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 5-5 straight up.
  • The Thunder have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 5-0 straight up and 4-1 against the spread.

Mavericks vs Thunder Prediction

The Mavericks come in as the underdog at +3.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 218 and our model has the Mavericks and Thunder finishing with a combined 234 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.