Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 3/25/2024

The Memphis Grizzlies (24-47) travel to face off against the Denver Nuggets (50-21) on Monday, March 25th. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on ALT. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Grizzlies vs Nuggets

memphis grizzlies nba

The Grizzlies Are Coming Off A Win

The Grizzlies’ most recent matchup against the Spurs saw Jaren Jackson Jr. lead the Grizzlies with 28 points while shooting 11/22 from the field. Scotty Pippen Jr. also added 18 points as the Grizzlies won the game by a score of 99-97.

In their last ten games, the Grizzlies have gone 4-6 and come into today’s game vs. the Nuggets with an overall record of 24-47. In the Western Conference, they are 13th overall and are 4th in the Southwest division.

So far, Memphis’ ATS record is below .500 at 35-36. On the road, the Grizzlies have an ATS record of 21-15, as opposed to a 14-21 record against the spread when playing at home.

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win

In their most recent game, the Nuggets took down the Trail Blazers by a score of 114-111. The Nuggets were favored by -10.5 heading into the game, but their 3 point victory failed to cover the spread. The over/under line entering this matchup was 209.5 points, and both teams achieved a total score that exceeded that line.

Heading into today’s matchup against the Grizzlies, the Nuggets are looking to add to their overall record of 50-21. In their 71 games, the Nuggets have gone 28-15 against teams in the Western Conference and 22-6 in non-conference play.

So far, Denver is below .500 in their ATS record, currently standing at 32-37. The Nuggets have a two game ATS win streak as underdogs, and they hold a 27-32 record against the spread when they are the favorites.

Grizzlies Offense Breakdown

The Grizzlies come into today’s game as the 30th ranked scoring offense at 105.9 points per game.

So far this season, the Grizzlies have been one of the least efficient offenses in the league, ranking 30th in points per game at 105.9. Interestingly, they have been better on the road, averaging 108.5 points compared to 103.3 at home.

When it comes to pace, Memphis is 16th in the NBA at 98.1 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, the Grizzlies are 30th in the league at 43%. However, they have been one of the better three-point shooting teams, ranking 9th in made threes per game.

Overall, the Grizzlies have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 21.1% of their games this season. In terms of assists, Memphis ranks 25th in the league at 24.8 per game.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

denver nuggets

In 71 games games, Denver has an average of 114.6 points per game (14th).

At home, the Nuggets are scoring 118.8 points per game, which is 10th in the league. Overall, they are averaging 114.6 points per game, which is 14th. In terms of field goal percentage, Denver is 5th in the league at 49%. However, they are last in the NBA in three-point attempts at just 30.7 per game.

So far this season, the Nuggets have outscored the NBA scoring average in 47.9% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 28th in the league at 96.1 possessions per game. When it comes to assists, Denver is 3rd in the NBA with 29.2 per game.

When looking at their free throw numbers, the Nuggets are 29th in free throws made and 28th in free throw attempts. In terms of offensive rebounds, Denver is 12th in the league at 10.8 per game.

Grizzlies Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Grizzlies’ defense is giving up an average of 112.6 points per contest. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Grizzlies squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 54.1% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 37.6% from downtown.

Nuggets Team Defense

Coming into the game, the Nuggets defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 28.2% of their games. Currently, they are 7th in the NBA at 110.1 points per game allowed. For the season, Denver is ranked 24th in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 22.1 free-throws per game vs. the Nuggets and have an overall field goal percentage of 46.6%.

Key Players For The Grizzlies And Nuggets

In today’s game, our projections have Desmond Bane leading the Grizzlies with 23 points on 8/18 shooting from the field. Throughout this season, his average stands at 23.9 points per game, along with 4.5 rebounds.

On the other side, Nikola Jokic is our projected leading scorer for the Nuggets. We have him ending the game with a team-high 26 and grabbing 12 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 58.1%, and his scoring average is 26.1 points per game.

Grizzlies vs Nuggets Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Memphis has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 106 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • Through their last three home games, Denver has an ATS record of just 0-3. However, their overall record was 2-1 while averaging 111 points per game.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Grizzlies have a straight up record of 4-6 and an ATS mark of 6-4.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Denver has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 8-2 straight up.

Grizzlies vs Nuggets Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Grizzlies vs. Nuggets matchup, we’re leaning towards the Grizzlies at +14.5. Although our projections show the Nuggets winning 107-97, we suggest placing your bet on the Grizzlies for the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 212.5 and our model has the Grizzlies and Nuggets finishing with a combined 204 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.