Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat Prediction 1/24/2024

The Memphis Grizzlies (16-27) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (24-19) on Wednesday, January 24th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on BSSU. The Grizzlies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Heat are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Raptors. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Grizzlies vs Heat

memphis grizzlies nba

The Grizzlies Are Coming Off A Win

In their last game, the Grizzlies defeated the Raptors with a final score of 108-100. Heading into the game, the Grizzlies were the underdogs at +7 giving them both a straight-up and ATS win. In terms of the over/under, the combined 208 points was below the over/under line of 227.

In non-conference games, the Grizzlies are 4-6 and have gone 12-21 against Western Conference teams. Overall, the Grizzlies are 16-27 heading into today’s game and are +10 point underdogs.

Memphis’ ATS record sits below .500 (18-25). The Grizzlies have experienced a three game ATS loss streak as favorites, and they are 13-17 vs. the spread when they are underdogs.

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their most recent game, the Heat fell to the Magic by a score of 105-87. The Heat not only lost the game but also failed to cover the spread as -1 point favorites. When it comes to the over/under, the total of 192 points ended up falling short of the over/under line set at 213.5.

As they prepare to take on the Grizzlies, the Heat are 24-19 overall and are looking to snap their three game losing skid. On the road, the Heat are 12-11 this season compared to going 12-8 at home.

Miami comes in with an overall ATS record of 19-22 so far this season. As the favorite this season, Miami is 11-13 vs. the spread while going 8-9 as the underdog.

Grizzlies Offense Breakdown

This season, the Memphis offense is ranked 29th in the NBA in scoring at 107.8 points per game.

Heading into their matchup with the Heat, the Grizzlies are 25th in the league in scoring at 107.8 points per game. However, they have been slightly better on the road, averaging 110.0 points per game compared to 105.2 at home.

So far this season, Memphis has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 25.6% of their games. They are also 29th in field goal percentage at 43% and 29th in two-point field goal percentage at 51%.

One area where the Grizzlies have excelled is three-point shooting. They are 9th in the league in three-pointers made per game at 13.5. However, they are just 30th in three-point shooting percentage at 34%.

Heat Offense Breakdown

miami heat

In 43 games games, Miami has an average of 110.9 points per game (26th).

This season, the Heat have been an above-average three-point shooting team, ranking 7th in the league at 37%. However, they are just 22nd in field goal percentage overall.

At home, Miami is averaging 115.1 points per game, which is 19th in the NBA. Overall, they are 26th in scoring at 110.9 points per game.

So far, the Heat have outscored the NBA scoring average in 37.2% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 29th in the league at 96.4 possessions per game.

Grizzlies Team Defense

At this time, the Grizzlies’ defense is positioned 13th in the NBA, permitting 113.3 points per game. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Grizzlies squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 52.6% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 38.5% from downtown.

Heat Team Defense

So far, the Heat’s defense is ranked 5th in the league at 110.7 points per contest. Miami’s defense is currently forcing 12.7 turnovers per game, which is 12th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 30th in blocked shots, with an average of 3.3 rejections per game.

Key Players For The Grizzlies And Heat

In today’s game, we anticipate Jaren Jackson Jr. leading the scoring for the Grizzlies, contributing 21 points while shooting 7/15 from the field. Throughout this season, his average stands at 21.8 points per game, along with 5.6 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Jimmy Butler to be the top scorer for the Heat. Our projection has him finishing the game with 21, and he is expected to secure 5 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 48.3% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 21.1 points per game.

Grizzlies vs Heat Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Memphis has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 102 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • Through their last three home contests, the Heat offense has averaged 93 points per game while allowing an average of 107. Miami posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 0-2-1 ATS.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Grizzlies have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 2-3.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Heat have a straight up record of 6-4 and an ATS mark of 5-4-1.

Grizzlies vs Heat Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +10, we recommend going with the Grizzlies on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 213 and our model has the Grizzlies and Heat finishing with a combined 221 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.