Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction 4/9/2024

The Miami Heat (43-35) travel to face off against the Atlanta Hawks (36-42) on Tuesday, April 9th. This game will be played at State Farm Arena in Atlanta and televised on BSSE. Both the Heat and Hawks will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30 ET.

Heat vs Hawks

miami heat nba

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their latest game against the Pacers, Jimmy Butler was the top scorer for the Heat’s offense, scoring 27 points and shooting 7/16 from the field. While Tyler Herro was 2nd on the team with 21 points, Miami fell short in the game with a final score of 117-115.

As it stands, the Heat are 43-35 overall and have gone 1-2 in their last three games. In the Eastern Conference, they are in 8th place and are 2nd in the Southeast Division.

Miami comes in with an overall ATS record of 38-37 so far this season. This season, Miami has a 21-21 record against the spread when they are favored, and they are 17-16 when playing as underdogs.

The Hawks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In the game against the Nuggets, Clint Capela was the top scorer for Atlanta, recording 19 points. His field goal percentage for the game was 42.5%. De’Andre Hunter contributed 18 points, but Atlanta lost the game 142-110.

The Hawks are 36-42 on the season and will be looking to get back to .500 with a win vs. the Heat. When playing on the road, the Hawks are 15-24 compared to 21-18 at home.

Atlanta comes in with an overall ATS record of 28-50 so far this season. On the road, the Hawks have an ATS record of 13-26, as opposed to a 15-24 record against the spread when playing at home.

Heat Offense Breakdown

Miami has recorded an average of 110 points per game (27th) throughout 78 games games.

Heading into Sunday’s game against the Hawks, the Heat are 27th in scoring this season at 110 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 107.9 points per game.

So far this season, Miami has outscored the NBA scoring average in 38.5% of their games. In terms of pace, the Heat are 29th in the league at 95.7 possessions per game.

When it comes to field goal percentage, they are 23rd in the NBA at 46%. In terms of three-point shooting, Miami is 13th in three-point percentage at 36%.

Hawks Offense Breakdown

atlanta hawks

The Hawks step onto the court for today’s game as one of the NBA’s top-scoring squads, putting up 118.7 points per game (5th).

At home this season, the Hawks are averaging 122.4 points per game, which is 4th in the NBA. Overall, they are 5th in scoring at 118.7 points per game. So far, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 57.7% of their games.

When it comes to three-point shooting, Atlanta is 6th in made threes at 13.8 per game. However, they are just 20th in field goal percentage at 46%. Inside the arc, they are 20th in two-point shooting at 53%.

On average, the Hawks are getting to the free-throw line 23.4 times per game, which is 7th in the league. In terms of assists, they are 17th at 26.5 per game.

Heat Team Defense

So far this season, the Heat defense has been performing well, ranking 4th in the NBA at 108.5 points allowed per contest. On two point field goal attempts, the Heat’s defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 55.3% and allowing 35.7% from beyond the arc.

Hawks Team Defense

At this time, the Hawks’ defense is positioned 28th in the NBA, permitting 120.3 points per game. Opponents are hitting 56.9% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 38.7% of their three-point attempts.

Key Players For The Heat And Hawks

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Jimmy Butler will be the primary scorer for the Heat, with 21 points and going 7/14 from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 21.1 points per game, in addition to 5.3 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Dejounte Murray to be the top scorer for the Hawks. Our projection has him finishing the game with 23, and he is expected to secure 5 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 45.9%, and he is contributing 22.4 points per game on average.

Heat vs Hawks Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 110 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Atlanta has an ATS record of 4-6 while averaging 108 per game. The team went 4-6 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Atlanta has an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight up.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Heat have a straight up record of 7-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.

Heat vs Hawks Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Heat, with a final score of 133-102, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Heat at -3.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 222.5, and our model predicts the Heat and Hawks to score a combined 235 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.