Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction 4/21/2024

The Miami Heat (46-36) travel to face off against the Boston Celtics (64-18) on Sunday, April 21st. This game will be played at TD Garden in Boston and televised on ABC. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 1:00 ET.

Heat vs Celtics

miami heat nba

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

Most recently, the Heat bested the Raptors with a score of 118-103. Heading into the second half, the Heat were leading 67-46.

Coming into today’s game vs. the Celtics, the Heat are 46-36 and are looking to stay above .500. As of now, the Heat are in 8th place in the Eastern Conference and are 2nd in the Southeast division.

Against the spread, Miami are currently above .500, at 40-39 ATS. This season, Miami has a 23-22 record against the spread when they are favored, and they are 17-17 when playing as underdogs.

The Celtics Are Coming Off A Win

In the game against the Wizards, Payton Pritchard was the top scorer for Boston, recording 38 points. His field goal percentage for the game was 57.3%. The Celtics picked up a 132-122 win, and Svi Mykhailiuk also added 26 points which was 2nd on the team.

Heading into today’s matchup vs. the Heat, the Celtics are looking to build on their above .500 record of 64-18. In the Eastern Conference, the Celtics are the top team and are also leading the Atlantic Division.

Against the spread, Boston have an above .500 record vs. the spread sitting at 41-37 ATS. On the road, the Celtics have an ATS record of 19-20, as opposed to a 22-17 record against the spread when playing at home.

Heat Offense Breakdown

Through 82 games the Heat are averaging 110.1 points per contest, placing them 26th in the NBA.

Miami comes into the game as one of the worst scoring teams in the league, averaging 110.1 points per game. Their scoring average on the road is even worse, at 108.1 points per contest. Looking at their pace, the Heat are 29th in the league, averaging 95.8 possessions per game.

Jimmy Butler has averaged 18.6 points per game over his last five games on 55.6% shooting. In these games, he also averaged 6.2 assists. Tyler Herro has averaged 21.8 points per game in his last five games, hitting 46.6% of his shots from the field. Across these games, he hit 2.8 threes per contest. Bam Adebayo is averaging 10.4 rebounds per game and 14.8 points per game for the season.

Celtics Offense Breakdown

boston celtics

The Celtics arrive for today’s game as one of the NBA’s top offensive teams, scoring an average of 120.6 points per game (2nd).

Coming into the game, the Celtics are the NBA’s second-ranked scoring offense, at 120.6 points per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 123.1 points per contest. Boston is also the league leader in three-point shooting percentage, at 38%, and they are also first in three-pointers made per game, at 16.5.

Jayson Tatum is averaging 26.9 points per game this season, to go along with 8.1 rebounds. Over his last five games, Payton Pritchard has hit 60.3% of his shots from the field and 22.2 points. Jaylen Brown is averaging 18.3 points per game over his last three games but has hit just 25% of his threes in that stretch.

Heat Team Defense

This season, the Heat defense has been impressive, holding the 4th position in the league while permitting an average of 108.4 points per contest. Miami struggled on the boards in their last game vs. the Raptors, giving up 13. For the game, Toronto scored 103 points in the game.

Celtics Team Defense

In the current season, the Celtics defense has excelled, sitting 6th in the NBA by allowing 109.2 points per game. Inside the arc, the Celtics defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 52.0% and 34.9% from three-point territory.

Key Players For The Heat And Celtics

In today’s game, our projections have Tyler Herro leading the Heat with 19 points on 7/16 shooting from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 20.8 points per game, in addition to 5.3 rebounds.

On the other side, Jayson Tatum is our projected leading scorer for the Celtics. We have him ending the game with a team-high 26 and grabbing 8 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 47.1% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 26.9 points per game.

Heat vs Celtics Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Miami has an ATS mark of 8-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 108 points per game.
  • Although Boston has a straight up record of 2-3 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-4. The team averaged 110 points per game in these games.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 1-4 and an ATS mark of 3-2.
  • Over the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Celtics struggled vs the spread going just 1-1-1. However, they still had a straight up mark of 2-1.

Heat vs Celtics Prediction

In this Heat vs. Celtics matchup, our point-spread bet is on the Heat at +14. While we project the Celtics to win 114-110, our recommendation is to bet on the Heat for the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 209 and our model has the Heat and Celtics finishing with a combined 224 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.