Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction 4/24/2024

The Miami Heat (46-36) travel to face off against the Boston Celtics (64-18) on Wednesday, April 24th. This game will be played at TD Garden in Boston and televised on TNT. The Celtics are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Heat are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Heat. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Heat vs Celtics

miami heat nba

Boston was able to cover the spread in the most recent game of this Heat vs. Celtics series, as they won by a score of 114-94. The Celtics were favored by 14.5 points heading into the game. The Celtics really put the clamps on the Heat in the third quarter, outscoring them 31-14. Going into the game, the over/under line was at 210.5 points, and the teams fell just short of that with 208 combined points.

As a team, the Celtics shot the ball well from deep, knocking down 22 threes on 44.9% shooting from beyond the arc. Jayson Tatum finished with a triple-double for the Celtics, as he had 23 points, 10 rebounds, and 10 assists. Bam Adebayo led the Heat with 24 points.

Heat Offense Breakdown

Miami comes into the game as one of the lowest-scoring teams in the NBA at 110.1 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 107.7 points per contest. Looking at their pace, the Heat are 29th in the league, averaging 95.8 possessions per game.

Jimmy Butler and Terry Rozier are both out for tonight’s game. Butler is averaging 20.8 points per game this season, followed by Rozier at 19.8. Rozier is at 5.6 assists per game, and Butler is at 5.0. Over his last five games, Tyler Herro is averaging 18.8 points, 7 assists and 5 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is averaging 16.6 points and 6.8 rebounds in his last five games and 19.3 points and 10.4 rebounds for the season.

Celtics Offense Breakdown

boston celtics

This season, the Celtics are 2nd in the NBA in scoring, at 120.6 points per game. They have been even better at home, with an average of 122.9 points per contest. Boston’s high-scoring offense is a result of their three-point shooting, as they are averaging 16.5 made threes per game, which is the best mark in the league.

Payton Pritchard has been playing well of late, averaging 19.8 points per game over his last five games. In these games, he hit 56.9% of his shots from the field. Jayson Tatum is averaging 21 points per game in his last three games, but he hit just 25% of his threes in these games. Overall, Tatum is shooting 37.6% from downtown this season, and Jaylen Brown is at 35.4%.

Heat Team Defense

When it comes to defense, the Miami Heat have been one of the best teams in the league this season. They are currently 4th in points allowed per game at 108.2. On the road, they are even better, leading the NBA at 106.7 points per contest.

This season, opposing teams have scored less than their season average in 79.3% of games vs. Miami. They have also done a good job of not fouling, ranking 28th in personal fouls.

One area where the Heat have struggled is in the blocked shots department, ranking 30th in the league. They are also just 17th in defensive rebounds.

Celtics Team Defense

As a team, the Boston Celtics have been one of the best defensive units in the NBA this season. They are currently 5th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 109.0. At home, the Celtics have been even better, giving up just 107.6 points per game, which is 4th in the league.

One area where Boston has excelled is in keeping opponents off of the free-throw line. They are 1st in the NBA in made free-throws allowed per game at just 17.2. Over their last five games, they have been even better, allowing just 8.4 made free-throws per game.

On the season, opponents have made 51.2% of their three-point attempts against the Celtics. However, for the season, opponents have attempted just 36.7 three-pointers per game, which is 23rd in the NBA. Over their last five games, Boston has given up a three-point percentage of 39.6%.

Key Players For The Heat And Celtics

Our game forecasts for today suggest that Tyler Herro is set to be the main scorer for the Heat, recording 19 points and shooting 7/16 from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 20.8 points per game, in addition to 5.3 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Jayson Tatum to be the top scorer for the Celtics. Our projection has him finishing the game with 26, and he is expected to secure 8 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 47.1% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 26.9 points per game.

Heat vs Celtics Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 7-3 while averaging 107 per game. The team went 6-4 overall in these games.
  • Through their last three home games, Boston has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 2-1 while averaging 104 points per game.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 0-5. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-3.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Celtics have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 2-0-1 in these scenarios.

Heat vs Celtics Prediction

In this Heat vs. Celtics matchup, our point-spread bet is on the Heat at +14.5. While we project the Celtics to win 115-113, our recommendation is to bet on the Heat for the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 202.5 and our model has the Heat and Celtics finishing with a combined 228 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.