Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Prediction 3/15/2024

The Miami Heat (35-30) travel to face off against the Detroit Pistons (12-53) on Friday, March 15th. This game will be played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit and televised on BSDE. The Pistons are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Heat are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Raptors. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Heat vs Pistons

miami heat nba

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Most recently, the Heat lost to the Nuggets with a final score of 100-88. Despite being behind at halftime 50-44, the Heat picked up the win.

As they take on the Pistons, the Heat will be looking to stay above .500. Their overall record is 35-30, with 18-15 on the road and 17-15 at home.

So far, Miami’s ATS record is below .500 at 30-32. Miami has not been good vs. the spread in their last four home games, and they are 12-20 ATS at home compared to 18-12 on the road.

The Pistons Are Coming Off A Win

In their latest game against the Raptors, Jalen Duren was the top scorer for the Pistons’ offense, scoring 24 points and shooting 8/9 from the field. Cade Cunningham also added 19 points as the Pistons won the game by a score of 113-104.

With a 12-53 record, the Pistons are below .500 as they look to get a win against the Heat. In the Eastern Conference, the Pistons are in 14th place and are 5th in the Central division.

The Pistons have successfully covered the spread in their last two games and hold an overall ATS record of 33-31. On the road, the Pistons have an ATS record of 17-15 compared to a 16-16 record vs. the spread at home.

Heat Offense Breakdown

In 65 games games, Miami has an average of 110.2 points per game (27th).

This season, the Heat are 27th in the league in scoring at 110.2 points per game. In terms of pace, they are 29th in the NBA. On the road, Miami is averaging 107.7 points per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Heat are 8th in the league at 37%. However, they are only 22nd in field goal percentage. In terms of two-point shooting, Miami is 27th in the NBA.

So far, the Heat have outscored the NBA scoring average in 38.5% of their games. In terms of assists, Miami is 21st in the league. They are also 26th in offensive rebounds.

Pistons Offense Breakdown

detroit pistons

Through 65 games games, Detroit is averaging 112.4 points per game (21st).

This season, the Pistons have been one of the better teams at getting to the free-throw line, averaging 22.3 attempts per game (14th). In terms of scoring, they are 21st in the NBA at 112.4 points per game. At home, they are averaging 112.1 points per game (23rd).

Detroit is 7th in pace this season, averaging 100.3 possessions per game. Despite their pace, the Pistons are 29th in three-point shooting, hitting just 35% of their attempts. In terms of overall field goal percentage, they are 18th in the league at 47%.

So far, the Pistons have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 32.3% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 17th in the league at 26.3 per game. When it comes to offensive rebounding, Detroit is 11th in the NBA.

Heat Team Defense

Currently, the Heat’s defense holds the 6th rank in the NBA, allowing 109.8 points per game. Opponents are hitting 55.2% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.3% of their three-point attempts.

Pistons Team Defense

On defense, the Pistons come into the game ranked 26th in the league in points allowed at 120.5 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 114.3 points per contest (24th). The Detroit defense has allowed opponents to shoot 37.6% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 49.1% of their field goal attempts vs. Detroit.

Key Players For The Heat And Pistons

In today’s game, we anticipate Terry Rozier leading the scoring for the Heat, contributing 20 points while shooting 7/16 from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 20 points per game, in addition to 4.1 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Cade Cunningham to be the top scorer for the Pistons. Our projection has him finishing the game with 22, and he is expected to secure 4 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 45.2% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 22.5 points per game.

Heat vs Pistons Trends

  • Across their last three road contests, Miami has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 0-3, while averaging 101 points per game.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, Detroit has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 102 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Pistons have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 2-1.
  • Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Heat have an overall record of 4-1 while going 2-3 against the spread.

Heat vs Pistons Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Heat vs. Pistons game, we suggest taking the Pistons at +7.5. Even though our predictions have the Heat winning 112-110, we see the Pistons as the better choice on the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 213.5 and our model has the Heat and Pistons finishing with a combined 222 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.