Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction 4/7/2024

The Miami Heat (43-34) travel to face off against the Indiana Pacers (44-34) on Sunday, April 7th. This game will be played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis and televised on BSIN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 5:00 ET.

Heat vs Pacers

miami heat nba

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

The Heat took down the Rockets in their most recent game with a final score of 119-104. Heading into the second half, the Heat were leading 64-59.

With an above .500 record of 43-34, the Heat are looking to build on their success in today’s matchup vs. the Pacers. In games against Eastern Conference opponents, they have gone 29-19 while going 14-15 in non-conference play.

Miami has an ATS record of .500 for the season, and they stand at 37-37 ATS. When playing on the road, the Heat hold an ATS record of 22-14 in contrast to a 15-23 record against the spread when playing at home.

The Pacers Are Coming Off A Win

In the game against the Thunder, Pascal Siakam was the top scorer for Indiana, recording 21 points. His field goal percentage for the game was 52.3%. Aaron Nesmith also added 17 points as the Pacers won the game by a score of 126-112.

Coming into today’s game, the Pacers are 44-34 overall and have gone 6-4 in their last ten games. In the Eastern Conference, they are 6th overall and are 3rd in the Central division.

Indiana comes in with an overall ATS record of 42-34 so far this season. In their last two road games, Indiana has been unable to cover the spread, and they hold an ATS record of 21-17 on the road as opposed to 21-17 at home.

Heat Offense Breakdown

The Heat come into today’s game as the 27th ranked scoring offense at 109.9 points per game.

On the season, the Heat are averaging 109.9 points per game, which is 27th in the NBA. When playing on the road, Miami is averaging 107.7 points per game.

So far, the Heat have outscored the NBA scoring average in 37.7% of their games. In terms of pace, Miami is 29th in the league at 95.7 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Heat are 23rd in field goal percentage at 46%. From beyond the arc, Miami is hitting 37% of their three-point attempts, which is 13th in the NBA.

Pacers Offense Breakdown

indiana pacers

Coming into today’s action, Indiana is averaging 122.8 points per contest. This figure places them 1st in the league.

When it comes to scoring, the Pacers are the top team in the NBA, averaging 122.8 points per game. At home, they are scoring 124.9 points per game. Overall, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 70.5% of their games.

Indiana’s offensive attack is one of the most efficient in the league. They are shooting 50% from the field, which leads the NBA. In terms of pace, they are 3rd in the league at 101.2 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Pacers are 9th in the NBA at 37%. They are making an average of 13.2 threes per game, which is 10th in the league. In terms of free throws, they are 24th in attempts and 22nd in makes.

Heat Team Defense

Currently, the Heat’s defense holds the 3rd rank in the NBA, allowing 108.4 points per game. Miami’s defense is currently forcing 11.8 turnovers per game, which is 5th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 30th in blocked shots, with an average of 3.4 rejections per game.

Pacers Team Defense

Facing Miami, the Pacers aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 120.2 points allowed per game (27th). In the terms of takeaways, Pacers are causing 12.3 turnovers per game, ranking 12th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 8th in rejections, averaging 5.9 blocked shots each game.

Key Players For The Heat And Pacers

The outlook for today’s matchup points to Jimmy Butler as the primary point contributor for the Heat, finishing with 21 points while maintaining a 7/14 shooting accuracy. For the season, he has been averaging 21 points per game, in addition to 5.3 rebounds.

As for Indiana, Pascal Siakam is projected to be the primary scorer for the Pacers. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 21, and adding 7 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 53.4% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 21.8 points per game.

Heat vs Pacers Trends

  • Miami has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 108 points per game while allowing 102. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Indiana has an ATS record of 6-4 while averaging 120 per game. The team went 6-4 overall in these games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 4-6. Their record vs the spread in these games was 6-4.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Indiana has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 5-5 straight up.

Heat vs Pacers Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Pacers to win, and have the projected score sitting at 113-111. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Pacers at -1.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 224.5 and given that our model is projecting 224 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.