Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction 4/17/2024

The Miami Heat (46-36) travel to face off against the Philadelphia 76ers (47-35) on Wednesday, April 17th. This game will be played at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Heat vs 76ers

miami heat nba

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

Most recently, the Heat bested the Raptors with a score of 118-103. The Heat were leading the game going into the second half 67-46.

As they face the 76ers, the Heat are looking to build on their above .500 record of 46-36. In the Eastern Conference, they are currently in 8th place and are 2nd in the Southeast division.

Miami arrives with an ATS record of 40-39 for the season up to this point. Miami has gone 23-22 against the spread this season when they are the favorites, and they are 17-17 when playing as underdogs.

The 76ers Are Coming Off A Win

The 76ers clinched a 107-86 win over the Nets in their previous game. The start of the second half saw the 76ers in the lead, at 55-44.

With an overall record of 47-35, the 76ers are coming into today’s game looking to add to their eight-game winning streak. In the Eastern Conference, they are currently in 7th place, while holding the 3rd spot in the Atlantic Division.

The 76ers have successfully covered the spread in their last 10 games and hold an overall ATS record of 49-32. The 76ers are currently on a nine game ATS win streak when they are the favorite, and they hold a 15-15 record against the spread as underdogs.

Heat Offense Breakdown

Through 82 games games, Miami is averaging 110.1 points per game (26th).

Jimmy Butler is averaging 18.6 points per game over his last five games, while shooting 55.6% from the field. In these games, he also averaged 6.2 assists. For the season, he is averaging 20.8 points and 5 assists. Tyler Herro is averaging 21.8 points per game over his last five games, to go along with 4.8 assists and 5.2 rebounds. Herro’s season three-point shooting percentage is 39.6%, while Butler has hit 41.4% of his threes.

Miami comes into the game as the NBA’s 26th ranked scoring offense, at 110.1 points per game. Their road scoring average is 108.1 points per contest. The team’s pace of 95.8 possessions per game is the second-lowest rate in the league. In terms of free-throw attempts, they are 13th in the league.

76ers Offense Breakdown

philadelphia 76ers

This season, the Philadelphia offense is ranked 15th in the NBA in scoring at 114.6 points per game.

Joel Embiid comes into the game averaging 33 points per game over his last three games. In these games, he hit 53.4% of his shots from the field and 3.3 threes per game. His season three-point shooting percentage is 38.8%. Tyrese Maxey is averaging 28.2 points per game over his last four games on a field goal percentage of 47.7%. For the season, he is averaging 3 made threes per game on a shooting percentage of 37.3%.

Philadelphia is averaging 114.6 points per game this season, which is 15th in the league. This figure has come with them being 19th in both three-point attempts and three-point shooting percentage. The 76ers’ average of 115.5 points per game at home is 14th in the NBA.

Heat Team Defense

At present, the Heat’s defense is ranked 3rd, allowing 108.4 points per game. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Heat squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 55.3% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 35.4% from downtown.

76ers Team Defense

Philadelphia’s defense has been playing well, ranking 9th in the NBA with 111.5 points allowed per game. Philadelphia’s defense is currently forcing 11.3 turnovers per game, which is 1st in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 6th in blocked shots, with an average of 6 rejections per game.

Key Players For The Heat And 76ers

The outlook for today’s matchup points to Jimmy Butler as the primary point contributor for the Heat, finishing with 19 points while maintaining a 6/12 shooting accuracy. Throughout this season, his average stands at 20.8 points per game, along with 5.3 rebounds.

On the flip side, our predictions place Tyrese Maxey as the leading scorer for the 76ers. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 24 while also collecting 3 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 45% and is averaging 25.9 points per contest.

Heat vs 76ers Trends

  • Across their last three road contests, Miami has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 117 points per game.
  • When looking at their past three matchups at home, Philadelphia has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 119 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 2-8. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the 76ers have a straight up record of 9-1 and an ATS mark of 9-1.

Heat vs 76ers Prediction

The Heat come in as the underdog at +5.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 208, and our model predicts the Heat and 76ers to score a combined 221 points. We recommend betting on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.