Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 1/29/2024

The Milwaukee Bucks (32-14) travel to face off against the Denver Nuggets (32-15) on Monday, January 29th. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on ALT. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Bucks vs Nuggets

milwaukee bucks nba

The Bucks Are Coming Off A Win

In their most recent game, the Bucks took down the Pelicans by a score of 141-117. The Bucks not only secured a straight-up victory in this game but also covered the spread as -3.5-point favorites. The over/under line heading into this matchup was 243 points in which the two teams surpassed.

With an overall record of 32-14, the Bucks are 7-3 in their last ten games. In the Eastern Conference, they are 2nd and are 1st in the Central division.

Milwaukee’s ATS record is currently below .500 at 18-28 for the season. Milwaukee has gone 17-27 against the spread this season when they are the favorites, and they are 1-1 when playing as underdogs.

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win

The Nuggets picked up a win over the 76ers in their latest game, finishing with a score of 111-105. As the second half got underway, the Nuggets were leading by a score of 64-62.

With a 32-15 record, the Nuggets are 4th in the Western Conference and 3rd in the Northwest division. Looking at their last three games, they have gone 2-1.

Denver currently has an ATS record below .500, sitting at 19-26 at this point. The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in two straight games as the favorite and are 2-3 vs. the spread as the underdog.

Bucks Offense Breakdown

The Bucks come into today’s game as one of the better scoring teams in the NBA at 124.4 points per game (2nd).

This season, the Bucks have been one of the NBA’s highest-scoring teams, averaging 124.4 points per game. They have been particularly effective on the road, where they are averaging 122.8 points per game.

Milwaukee’s offense is also one of the league’s most efficient, ranking 2nd in true shooting percentage. They have been successful at getting to the free-throw line, ranking 2nd in both free throws made and attempted per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Bucks are 5th in made threes but have attempted just the 8th-most in the league. Overall, they are 2nd in field goal percentage and have the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

denver nuggets

In 47 games games, Denver has an average of 115.1 points per game (17th).

At home, the Nuggets are averaging 120.1 points per game this season, which is 9th in the NBA. Overall, they are 17th in scoring at 115.1 points per game. Denver has outscored the NBA scoring average in 48.9% of their games this season.

On the season, the Nuggets are 4th in field goal percentage at 49%. They are also 4th in two-point field goal percentage at 56%. However, they are just 26th in free throw attempts and 29th in free throws made.

Coming into this game, Denver is 30th in pace at 96.1 possessions per game. In terms of three-point shooting, the Nuggets are 13th in three-point percentage but are just 28th in three-point attempts.

Bucks Team Defense

Looking at the Bucks defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 120.1 points per game (24th). When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Bucks squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 54.6% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 34.6% from downtown.

Nuggets Team Defense

So far this season, the Nuggets defense has been performing well, ranking 6th in the NBA at 111.0 points allowed per contest. Most recently, the Nuggets’ defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 105 points to the 76ers.

Key Players For The Bucks And Nuggets

In today’s game, our projections have Giannis Antetokounmpo leading the Bucks with 30 points on 11/19 shooting from the field. During this season, he is delivering an average of 31 points per game, along with 11.7 rebounds.

On the other side, Nikola Jokic is our projected leading scorer for the Nuggets. We have him ending the game with a team-high 25 and grabbing 12 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 59.1% and is averaging 26.3 points per contest.

Bucks vs Nuggets Trends

  • Although Milwaukee has a straight up record of 3-2 in their last five road games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 0-5. The team averaged 118 points per game in these games.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Nuggets offense has averaged 111 points per game while allowing an average of 112. Denver posted an overall record of 7-3 while going 3-6-1 ATS.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Bucks have a straight up record of 0-5 and an ATS mark of 1-4.
  • Through their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 0-4-1.

Bucks vs Nuggets Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +4.5, we have the Bucks as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 239.5 and our model has the Bucks and Nuggets finishing with a combined 241 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.