NBA: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 1/7/2024

NBA: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 1/7/2024

The Minnesota Timberwolves (25-9) travel to face off against the Dallas Mavericks (21-15) on Sunday, January 7th. This game will be played at American Airlines Center. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks

The Timberwolves Are Coming Off A Winminnesota timberwolves nba

The Timberwolves’ most recent matchup against the Rockets saw Anthony Edwards lead the Timberwolves with 24 points while shooting 8/17 from the field. Karl-Anthony Towns also contributed 22 points as the Timberwolves won by a score of 122-95 vs. the Rockets.

In today’s game vs. the Mavericks, the Timberwolves are looking to add to their above .500 record of 25-9. On the road, the Timberwolves have gone 11-7 compared to 14-2 at home this season.

Minnesota currently has an ATS record below .500, sitting at 16-17 at this point. During this season, Minnesota has a 12-13 record against the spread as favorites and 4-4 as underdogs.

The Mavericks Are Coming Off A Windallas mavericks

The Mavericks clinched a 139-103 win over the Trail Blazers in their previous game. the Mavericks entered the second half with an advantage, leading with 62-53.

In their last three games, the Mavericks are 2-1 and have an overall record of 21-15. In non-conference games, they are 5-3 and have a record of 16-12 against Western Conference teams.

The Mavericks have covered the spread successfully in their previous two games and maintain an overall ATS record of 20-16. In their last two home games, Dallas has successfully covered the spread, and they maintain an ATS record of 8-9 at home compared to 12-7 on the road.

Timberwolves Offense Breakdown

Through 34 games the Timberwolves are averaging 113.1 points per contest, placing them 22nd in the NBA. When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Timberwolves are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 98 per contest. This deliberate style of basketball has played a role in the unit ranking just 25th in made shots per game.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

Today, the Mavericks enter the game as one of the NBA’s top-scoring teams, averaging 119.1 points per game (7th). When looking at the Mavericks pace of play, they tend to play an up-tempo style of basketball. So far, the team is in the upper half of the NBA in possessions per game, averaging 100.4. So far, the team has been able to rank well on offense, even though their up-tempo style of play has not translated into inside scoring. Currently, Dallas is just 25th in 2-point field goal makes per game.

Timberwolves Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Timberwolves’ defense is giving up an average of 107.4 points per contest. The Minnesota defense has allowed opponents to shoot 34.7% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 44.9% of their field goal attempts vs. Minnesota.

Mavericks Team Defense

At this time, the Mavericks’ defense is positioned 21st in the NBA, permitting 117.0 points per game. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Mavericks are forcing 11.7 per game, which is 4th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 24th in blocked shots at 4.5 per game.

Key Players For The Timberwolves And Mavericks

In today’s game, our projections have Anthony Edwards leading the Timberwolves with 25 points on 9/19 shooting from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 26.5 points per game, in addition to 5.2 rebounds.

On the flip side, our predictions place Luka Doncic as the leading scorer for the Mavericks. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 31 while also collecting 8 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 48.7%, and his scoring average is 33.7 points per game.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Trends

  • Through their last ten road contests, the Timberwolves offense has averaged 114 points per game while allowing an average of 111. Minnesota posted an overall record of 6-4 while going 6-4 ATS.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 6-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 112 points per game in these contests.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Dallas has an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 2-3 straight up.
  • As the betting favorite, the Timberwolves have an ATS mark of just 1-2 in their last three games. Minnesota posted a straight up mark of 1-2 in these matchups.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +3, we have the Mavericks as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 230.5, and our model projects the Timberwolves and Mavericks to reach a combined total of 230 points. Our bet is on taking the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.