thunder vs timberwolves nba prediction

NBA: Oklahoma City vs Minnesota Prediction 11/28/2023

The Oklahoma City Thunder (11-5) travel to face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves (12-4) on Tuesday, November 28th. This game will be played at Target Center in Target Center and televised on BSN. The Timberwolves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Thunder are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Grizzlies. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Thunder vs Timberwolves

The Thunder Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Thunder were defeated by the 76ers in the most recent game, concluding with a score of 127-123. the Thunder not only lost the game outright but also fell short of covering the spread as +1 point underdogs. The over/under line for this matchup was set at 231 points, and the teams managed to exceed that total.

Looking at the Thunder’s previous ten games, they are 8-2 and face the Timberwolves with an overall mark of 11-5. In away games this season, the Thunder have put together a 6-1 record, whereas they have a 5-4 record when playing at home.

Presently, Oklahoma City boasts an ATS record of 12-4, which is above .500 against the spread. Currently, the Thunder have a four game ATS win streak when they are favored, and they are 6-2 against the spread as underdogs.

The Timberwolves Are Coming Off A Win

Anthony Edwards scored 24 for Minnesota against the Grizzlies which was the most on the team. His field goal percentage for the game was 53.1%. Mike Conley also added 18 points as the Timberwolves won the game by a score of 119-97.

Looking at the Timberwolves’ previous ten games, they are 8-2 and face the Thunder with an overall mark of 12-4. The team is presently 1st in the Western Conference and 1st in the Northwest division.

Currently, Minnesota holds an above .500 ATS record of 9-6 so far this year. Minnesota has gone 6-5 against the spread this season when they are the favorites, and they are 3-1 when playing as underdogs.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

The Thunder come into today’s game as one of the better scoring teams in the NBA at 119.6 points per game (5th). Coming into today’s game, the Thunder will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 12.9 made 3’s per game. Although Oklahoma City has struggled with their outside shot, they have done a good job taking care of the ball, averaging just 13.1 turnovers per game.

Timberwolves Offense Breakdown

In 16 games games, Minnesota has an average of 113.4 points per game (15th). So far, the Timberwolves are averaging 98.8 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. Although the team tends to play at a more deliberate pace, they are currently one of the more efficient shooting teams, connecting on field goal attempts at a rate of 5th%.

Thunder Team Defense

Coming into the game, the Thunder defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 37.5% of their games. Currently, they are 9th in the NBA at 111.2 points per game allowed.

Opponents are hitting 50.2% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 34.4% of their three-point attempts.

Timberwolves Team Defense

Currently, the Timberwolves’ defense holds the 3rd rank in the NBA, allowing 106.4 points per game.

Most recently, the Timberwolves’ defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 97 points to the Grizzlies.

Key Players For The Thunder And Timberwolves

Our game forecasts for today suggest that Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is set to be the main scorer for the Thunder, recording 20 points and shooting 8/14 from the field. Throughout this season, his average stands at 30.4 points per game, along with 6.1 rebounds.

As for Minnesota, Anthony Edwards is projected to be the primary scorer for the Timberwolves. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 22, and adding 5 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 46.6%, and he is contributing 26.6 points per game on average.

Thunder vs Timberwolves Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Oklahoma City has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 120 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • Through their last three home contests, the Timberwolves offense has averaged 118 points per game while allowing an average of 116. Minnesota posted an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • The last ten games that Oklahoma City was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 6-4 straight up.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Timberwolves have a straight up record of 8-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-4-1.

Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +4, we recommend going with the Thunder on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 227.5, and our model predicts the Thunder and Timberwolves to score a combined 227 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.