Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat Prediction 12/25/2023

NBA: Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat Prediction 12/25/2023

The Philadelphia 76ers (20-8) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (17-12) on Monday, December 25th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

76ers vs Heat

The 76ers Are Coming Off A Win76ers

The 76ers won vs. the Raptors in their most recent game, ending with a score of 121-111. The start of the second half saw the 76ers in the lead, at 61-58.

The 76ers are 20-8 overall and have gone 2-1 in their last three games. They are currently in 3rd place in the Eastern Conference and are in 2nd place in the Atlantic division.

Philadelphia comes in with an overall ATS record of 21-7 so far this season. With a two game ATS win streak as favorites, the 76ers are 3-2 against the spread when they are underdogs.

The Heat Are Coming Off A WinMiami Heat

In their last game, the Heat defeated the Hawks with a final score of 122-113. The Heat not only secured a straight-up victory in this game but also covered the spread as -1.5-point favorites. Regarding the over/under, the combined score of 235 points ended up below the over/under line of 238.5.

In their last three games, the Heat are 2-1 and have an overall record of 17-12. When playing against other teams in the Eastern Conference, the Heat are 14-10 and are 3-2 in non-conference games.

The Heat are riding a two game ATS win streak and currently possess an overall ATS record of 13-15. On the road, the Heat have an ATS record of 9-5, as opposed to a 4-10 record against the spread when playing at home.

76ers Offense Breakdown

Today, the 76ers enter the game as one of the NBA’s top-scoring teams, averaging 122.3 points per game (4th). Coming into today’s game, the 76ers will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 12.2 made 3’s per game. Although Philadelphia has struggled with their outside shot, they have done a good job taking care of the ball, averaging just 12.3 turnovers per game.

Heat Offense Breakdown

The Heat come into today’s game as the 19th ranked scoring offense at 113.2 points per game. So far, the Heat are averaging 96.6 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. Their slower style of play has created fewer offensive opportunities, leading to them being ranked 28th in fields goals made per contest.

76ers Team Defense

The 76ers’ defense is presently ranked 6 in the league, allowing an average of 111.0 points per contest.

The Philadelphia defense has allowed opponents to shoot 34.2% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 46.2% of their field goal attempts vs. Philadelphia.

Heat Team Defense

So far, the Heat’s defense is ranked 7 in the league at 111.8 points per contest.

The Heat defense is coming off a game in which they held the Hawks offense to just 46.5% shooting. Overall, they gave up 113 points to Atlanta.

Key Players For The 76ers And Heat

Our game forecasts for today suggest that Tyrese Maxey is set to be the main scorer for the 76ers, recording 22 points and shooting 8/17 from the field. During this season, he is delivering an average of 26.4 points per game, along with 3.9 rebounds.

On the flip side, our predictions place Tyler Herro as the leading scorer for the Heat. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 14 while also collecting 3 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 47.6%, and his scoring average is 24.2 points per game.

76ers vs Heat Trends

  • Across their last five road contests, Philadelphia has been good against the spread posting a mark of 4-1. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 125 points per game.
  • The Heat are 3-2 ATS in their last home games and 3-2 straight-up.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the 76ers have a straight up record of 1-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-2.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Heat have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 7-3.

76ers vs Heat Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Heat vs. 76ers matchup, our bet is to grab the 76ers at +3.5. Even though our projections have the Heat winning 113-111, we see the 76ers as the play on the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 226, and our model predicts the 76ers and Heat to score a combined 224 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.