Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 3/27/2024

The Phoenix Suns (42-30) travel to face off against the Denver Nuggets (51-21) on Wednesday, March 27th. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on ESPN. The Nuggets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Suns are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Grizzlies. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Suns vs Nuggets

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The Suns Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Most recently, the Suns lost to the Spurs with a final score of 104-102. Besides losing the game outright, the Suns also fell short against the spread, failing to cover as -12 point favorites. Considering the over/under, the total of 206 points fell short of the set over/under line of 234.5.

As of now, the Suns hold an overall record of 42-30 and have gone 2-1 in their last three games. Against Western Conference opponents, the Suns are 23-20 compared to a 19-10 record in non-conference games.

Phoenix arrives with an ATS record of 29-42 for the season up to this point. This season, Phoenix has a 22-31 record against the spread when they are the favorites, and they are 7-11 as underdogs.

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win

The Nuggets’ most recent game versus the Grizzlies saw Nikola Jokic lead the Nuggets with 29 points while shooting 11/18 from the field. Christian Braun also added 17 points as the Nuggets won the game by a score of 128-103.

In their last ten games, the Nuggets have gone 9-1 and come into today’s game against the Suns with an overall record of 51-21. Right now, they are leading the Western Conference and are in 1st place in the Northwest division.

So far, Denver’s ATS record is below .500 at 33-37. In their last three road games, Denver has been unable to cover the spread, and they hold an ATS record of 15-21 on the road as opposed to 18-16 at home.

Suns Offense Breakdown

Heading into play, the Suns’ offense is rated 10th in the league in scoring, averaging 117.1 points per contest.

The Suns are one of the NBA’s top offensive teams, ranking 10th in scoring at 117.1 points per game. They are also 4th in field goal percentage and 5th in three-point shooting at 38%.

When it comes to pace, Phoenix is 15th in the league at 98.4 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 12th with an average of 27 per contest.

On the road, the Suns are averaging 117 points per game, which is 8th in the NBA. So far this season, they have outscored the league scoring average in 56.9% of their games.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

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Through 72 games games, Denver is averaging 114.8 points per game (14th).

At home, the Nuggets are averaging 119.0 points per game, which is 10th in the NBA. Overall, they are 14th in scoring at 114.8 points per game. Denver is 5th in field goal percentage and 11th in true shooting percentage. In terms of pace, they are 28th in the league.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Nuggets are 11th in three-point percentage but are last in three-point attempts. In terms of free throws, they are 28th in attempts and 29th in makes. Denver is 2nd in two-point field goals made and 9th in two-point shooting percentage.

So far this season, the Nuggets have outscored the NBA scoring average in 48.6% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 3rd in the league. In terms of offensive rebounds, Denver is 11th.

Suns Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Suns’ defense is giving up an average of 114.1 points per contest. On two point field goal attempts, the Suns’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 53.2% and allowing 36.2% from beyond the arc.

Nuggets Team Defense

Not only do the Nuggets’ overall defensive numbers look good, as they are 7th in the league in points allowed. Denver has also been playing well on defense of late, ranking 22nd in the league over their last three games at 104.7 PPG allowed. The Nuggets defense is coming off a game in which they held the Grizzlies offense to just 53.3% shooting. Overall, they gave up 103 points to Memphis.

Key Players For The Suns And Nuggets

In today’s game, we anticipate Kevin Durant leading the scoring for the Suns, contributing 28 points while shooting 10/19 from the field. During this season, he is delivering an average of 27.6 points per game, along with 6.7 rebounds.

On the other side, Nikola Jokic is our projected leading scorer for the Nuggets. We have him ending the game with a team-high 26 and grabbing 12 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 58.1%, and his scoring average is 26.1 points per game.

Suns vs Nuggets Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Phoenix has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 120 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • In their last five games at home, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 4-1 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team averaged 110 points per game in this stretch.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Suns have a straight up record of 1-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-4.
  • Although the Nuggets have a strong straight up record in their last five games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 2-3.

Suns vs Nuggets Prediction

The Suns come in as the underdog at +7.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 226.5, and our model projects the Suns and Nuggets to reach a combined total of 222 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.